The price is consolidating within a 100-pip range. Exited 7 minutes before Powell speaks. Credit +0.20% (52 pips) for my little daughter, LOL . Let’s take another look after the red news later.

Gold

I just woke up and again missed the train for a Long after Range 2 break-up before Frankfurt, and the price had already gone far, 700 pips above where I closed my previous Long trade. My youngest child, a girl, likes to watch me trading and said, ...

Gold

Why does someone make very little money? Because they don't have enough capital (assuming a real account), so they have to bet out of necessity with a very large risk. Why does someone make good money? Because they have ...

Prop Firm Hub

This is a simple calculator to convert pips into percentage risk from Hanover, as long as we know the pip value — for example, GBP/USD is $10 per pip (if the account is in USD). If I'm currently using 1/3 of the ADR (21), which is 32 pips, then the ...

Prop Firm Hub

Well Ya... Monthly Growth Rate 4% Annual CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) 60.10%

Prop Firm Hub

Monthly Growth Rate & Annual CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) This will be useful for all traders as a small math lesson | Monthly Growth Rate | Annual CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) | ...

Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb

Lock and Closed at +0.52%. 3315 rejection so far.

Gold

Lol, that’s not software, just try ChatGPT or Deepseek—you’ll get the simulation. But to get the full picture, we need to provide some important statistical data from our system, Bro, to ensure it can ...

Prop Firm Hub

What you mean is that part of your strategy is position sizing using fixed lots based on multiples of your Equity, right? I know that. But if you say it's a consistent strategy, we look for that consistency in the statistics across many available ...

Prop Firm Hub

I have to be cautious with a very tight stop loss—less than 1/3 of the ADR (21)—like the way I do it, especially if I don't know the win rate of a system (statistics). The ability to adapt changes over time depending on market conditions—at least ...

Prop Firm Hub

Tabel #1: That’s easy, but you are risking 4% of your equity per trade, which is quite large for only 20 pips move, assume 1:1 RR in GBP/USD. Tabel #2: 1% Risk Tabel #3: 21-Day Trading Simulation Summary Win rate: 60% Risk per trade: 4% of capital ...

Prop Firm Hub

You need to consider many aspects as well; it's not that simple. For example, win rate and so on, especially if you start with a small account—unless your system has a 90% win rate. Here you go some simulation of expected payoff normally. Some ...

Prop Firm Hub

Simulation of Expected Payoff SIMULATION of 21 Trading Days 60% Win Rate Risk Reward 1:1, 1% Expected Daily Gain: +0.20% Total Gain: ~4.41% Compounding method +------------------+----------------------------+------------------+ | Starting Capital | ...

Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb

Old Model Challenge Vs New Model Challenge Eval + Funded Challenge Vs Bet Challenge 1 Step Static Challenge Gaming Prop Firm Challenge Here is the comparison between the Old Model and the propose New Model, 1 Step Static Challenge. With the current ...

Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb

Great analysis. I think to keep things balanced, we need a spike-up candle to 3330 and then a drop back down... Lol

Gold

Well, of course there are pros and cons — that’s normal — but Taleb is actually a true trader, so you might want to revisit his (classic) background, more and more, and more. He wasn’t a forex trader like us, or a stock or crypto trader (he only ...

Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb

The Calmar Ratio The Calmar Ratio is a performance metric used to evaluate risk-adjusted returns, particularly for trading strategies and hedge funds. It helps investors compare returns in relation to drawdown risk. In Short: Calmar Ratio = the ...

Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb

Spread for Gold/USD I’ve been monitoring the spread for Gold/USD over the past few weeks on Myfxbook (which already includes commission). There are several brokers that are very stable, especially during market open and close. These brokers, ranked ...

Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb

For the bigger picture on the Daily timeframe, a downward fractal is clearly visible, exactly the same as what often repeats on the M15 timeframe (smaller timeframe). A fractal is a never-ending, self-similar pattern that repeats itself at different ...

Gold

Percentage of Loss and Gain Needed to Recover In the field of Finance, loss and gain percentages are not symmetrical. Therefore, determine the risk of each of your positions in percentage terms (converted to pips) wisely. This isn't money management ...

Gold