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- sinusgamma replied Jun 9, 2020
Jobushi, nice research and charts. I agree that the charts in the linked article arent satisfactory to prove the non-random walk theory. But your charts arent satisfactory either to prove the random walk theory. There is a continous debate about ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 8, 2020
What did you try to forecast? price, or did you categorized the label for direction sides?
- sinusgamma replied Jun 8, 2020
Hello ninjakiller. The system must be awesome, but of course, it isn't possible to value a house only from seeing the bricks, and the input features are at least as important as the model. What kind of inputs do you use if you can share that info? ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 8, 2020
Jobushy, if it were a pure random walk the price wouldn't react to the events of the world. From the view of an uninformed observer, it can seem randomish, but even without any information about politics, economy, disasters the price movement has ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 8, 2020
MathTrader7, I agree with you. The article shows a technique, which can be used with very different datasets and outputs. I hope it is inspiring for the reader. This isn't a strategy, closer to an indicator. Just updated the main post to avoid ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 7, 2020
FXEZ, I was in a similar situation as you are. Had some experience with C#, made excel data analysis with VB, and used Java. I didn't like Python at all. I was searching for options to use C# or Java for these kinds of things, and I found some, like ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 7, 2020
Thanks for the long post PipMeUp. You have a very good point, this is only an indicator. And it predicts only the next 5-minute bar means, which makes the indicator harder to use than another predictor which predicts some value at a specific time. ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 7, 2020
Hello Yashir, Every code is available on github, and the data processing manual explains the pipeline: url . So you have the code. Just checked, unfortunately, the data files didn't make it to github, are too large. But the tick data is available ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 7, 2020
I trained it on Google Cloud with a single Nvidia K80 GPU. Training a model was some hour, but I trained much more than in the notebook. Last week it became very hard to get google GPU because everybody sitting in home office started using the ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 6, 2020
No, I didn't trade it so far. This is only a prediction, and the outputs of the different models would need different strategies to build around them. The probabilistic output would need lots of thinking about how to find the best strategy for it. ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 6, 2020
Hi, math, especially statistics and linear algebra are a good start. And python knowledge is very important, as most of today's machine learning / deep learning libraries are available in python. Probably you can skip most of the "must have before ...
- sinusgamma replied Jun 6, 2020
No, you can't really avoid slippage. But you can try to find news where there is a good chance that after the slippage the price will got further in the same direction for a while. Trading these news can result in profit on average, but needs risk ...
- sinusgamma replied Mar 30, 2019
The second article is ready. I show my data analysis, how I use the tester, and how I select the parameters for the trades. url
- sinusgamma replied Oct 9, 2017
Yes, I had some experience with php, Csharp, but i didn't want to learn mql4-5. Instead I began to learn Java and use dukascopy api at the moment. On the long term I think the widespread programming languages worth more. Lots of brokers provide ...
- sinusgamma replied Aug 20, 2017
The question itself is paradox. There is no safe amount. You can burn any money with the wrong strategy. Too much money gas its own dangers, because it can't find liquidity and overshifts the price. Some strategies work only with smaller accounts ...
- sinusgamma replied Aug 16, 2017
You can always use some trailing stop. I usually let the trade run, and don't use TP levels. Sometimes you make very nice trades. But there is two problem (at least I see two problems). 1. GBP pairs like to begin with large slippage, then in the ...
- sinusgamma replied Aug 15, 2017
We have very different approach, but good to see an other news trader. I wanted to add only a tought: I like news trading, because it isn't time consuming. I try to ride the first seconds, minutes. I see the calendar, prepare a bit for the times I ...
- sinusgamma replied Aug 13, 2017
Your hypothesis is that forex is a random walk as well. But it isn't. Supply and demand determines the price. But an average retail trader has very little information about these forces, and/or hasn't got enough resource (knowledge, time, research ...
- sinusgamma replied Aug 4, 2017
Yes, there is a lot of theory and very little science in the forum. Almost nobody speaks about research, but there are years of tick, news and other data on the net for free. But very few people cares. Only theory, theory, theory, no research. Maybe ...
- sinusgamma replied Aug 3, 2017
I think I have to defend some teachers. There is the type, which teaches the basic things, not superwinermakerichnow strategies. They teach the beginners how sl/tp/commission works, what kind of indicators most of the traders use, what to keep in ...