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- Plofkip replied Jan 15, 2015
Hmm. That's a big pity. Cost me almost 10% of my net worth. I'm still up on my forex transactions taken as a whole (over five years or so), but this hurt and I will be going quiet for a long while again now. (Thought I should pop back in here to own ...
- Plofkip replied Aug 12, 2014
Hello people. Had to pop in to check something on another thread, so I thought I might do the honest thing and acknowledge that my long at 1,23 (open now for 18 months already) is looking VERY SICK at the moment. I will certainly be back here ...
- Plofkip replied Jun 19, 2014
Oh, yes, you're right. I thought I'd noticed references to the peg becoming less prominent, but I was not comparing like with like. All of the recent Monetary Policy Assessments start in exactly the same way. My bad.
- Plofkip replied Jun 19, 2014
SNB headlines latest monetary policy statement with reaffirmation of 1,20 peg. Significant in my opinion because you only make something so central to your communication if you believe that it might again be tested.
- Plofkip replied Jun 15, 2014
No. They will be fine.
- Plofkip replied Jun 6, 2014
But think of all those cuckoo clocks and ski passes that won't get sold. Have some sympathy for the "poor" Swiss export industry!
- Plofkip replied Jun 6, 2014
We've been here before. But I am relieved that the latest adjustment makes the swap on a EUR/CHF long only marginally negative. Holding a EUR 2,5m long will cost slightly less than EUR 2 per day. A few months ago it was costing more than EUR 25 a ...
- Plofkip replied May 27, 2014
BS is the term which "professional" traders use to describe market movements which they didn't predict, don't understand and lost money on. It is an abbreviation of "but surely", from the phrase "but surely it should have gone the other way". ...
- Plofkip replied May 22, 2014
1,28 is fine for me. :-)
- Plofkip replied May 20, 2014
Er, because the EUR is not strong now? It's high against the USD not because the EUR is strong but because the USD is weak, as a result of the Fed printing money (while the ECB did not). I do take your point though about the effects (or the short ...
- Plofkip replied May 19, 2014
Won't argue with you on this. You certainly know more about short term market dynamics than I do. Not so sure about this, though. Russia is run by a maverick who could do anything, but I believe China is more rational and is not in any hurry to see ...
- Plofkip replied Jul 10, 2013
I found the discussion of this news item an interesting read. url PK
- Plofkip replied Jul 9, 2013
I'm pleased to see more people adding to the pressure build-up, but it surprises me to see Morgan Stanley's position described as "another big CHF bet". Does a €10m position qualify as "big"?
- Plofkip replied Jul 4, 2013
zzzzzzzzzzz |-) Actually, though, to complete the risk analysis, you also need to be comfortable that your broker isn't going to go up in smoke in the meantime.
- Plofkip replied Jul 2, 2013
So, people, removing myself to a Mozambican beach for a couple of weeks didn't change much. The pair is back around where it was when I left; JohnBoy Clinton is still entertaining us with his opinions (can't follow most of it); and a couple more ...
- Plofkip replied Jun 4, 2013
I doubt that they bet on anyone winning. That would be very brave. My guess is that they profile customers so that the bigger the account and the more profitable the history the greater the proportion of your trade that they pass straight through, ...
- Plofkip replied Jun 4, 2013
You miss my point. Camp three: there is no trend to befriend, looking for other pairs. Yes, there's a lot of "theory" about how to trade ranging markets, but I prefer a trend.
- Plofkip replied Jun 3, 2013
Well, I don't have any interest in trying to convince you. I made money on the elevator ride to 100 (it should have been more, but then it always should have been more) and I am out of this pair for now. My own analysis of the way the yen's real ...
- Plofkip replied Jun 3, 2013
Yes, really. url url url PK
- Plofkip replied Jun 3, 2013
I haven't experienced this. Why do they need to know how your overall net worth is changing? Do they perhaps have different reporting obligations for their US business? (I am in Europe and use their European platform.) Well, I am happy to share my ...