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- Fractalist replied Jun 15, 2014
Ok excellent response. The Nyquist Limit for all standard bar/candle charts is 2 bars. That is because it is related to the sample rate, which is the rate at which new bars appear. Nyquist is half the rate at which bars appear, therefore it is ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
Why am I using this method... Because the raw data we receive is DSP data, by default. It is a digital sample of a continuous process. It is, in its raw state, incompletely processed. It does not accurately reflect the continuous process it purports ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
Ok let me reply to both of you. Your replies both show some confusion about basic DSP theory. According to the Nyquist-Shannon Sampling Theorem the final stage in the sampling process, essential to creating a neutral output, is a lowpass filter ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
I would be inclined to believe your opinion more if I saw any evidence that you had done any actual experimentation with the techniques I have mentioned, or any others. I understand that you are repeating the bias you learned, and which applies to ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
Good point. Here are some things that I am doing: 1) By just using a good filter on price data, and then drawing those smoothed lines on the price chart, it is possible to observe the location of dynamically-changing S/R levels that are related to ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
I agree with you, and I don't think we actually disagree. My comment was about a whole different kind of analysis than you are talking about. I don't think that tick data is worthless at all. I think it is worthless for people who are trading ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
All MAs are lowpass filters. Correct. They are extremely poor lowpass filters because they leak and their stopband attenuation is poor. If you look at the frequency response of a moving average and a 2-pole Butterworth IIR lowpass filter, you can ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
image The second most strongly felt gravity line (dark blue) is now at .9106 so yes I can see that. The Fib 161.8 extension level is just a bit above that. Just above that is another gravity line that can be seen intermittently in the dark blue ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 14, 2014
Glad to help. Lowpass Filters OK you probably have used Moving Averages by now. Lowpass filters are a better way of achieving the same function as MAs. MAs are used for smoothing. But what exactly is 'smoothing'? Simply put, smoothing is a means of ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Glad that we agree. I hope you take my comments on the other thread as merely a criticism of the specific ideas you mentioned, not any slam on you. I am aware that I am in the minority. Its just that I don't believe that consensus means much of ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Yes, I am aware that this is contrary to conventional wisdom. Conventional wisdom is wrong. Ever hear of Rescaled Range Analysis? Heard of the Hurst Exponent? There are techniques which can determine if a time series is persistent or ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Yes, you were. Context confirmed. My point is that you are assuming that the MM techniques you listed are 'unsustainable'. They are not. They just need to be done correctly. Telling traders to use stops always and never add to positions is a ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
My thoughts exactly. I have been studying these things, off and on, for some 25 years now. I am self taught and did not learn the requisite math needed to be fully versatile with such things. But I do understand the underlying concepts and much of ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Yeah we have divergence stacked upon divergence. I don't understand why so many are bullish now, but that usually happens at a top anyway Regarding that ascending Red Channel that caused today's rise, you can see that it probably has hit the top ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Take a look at some ideas: Rescaled Range Analysis (nonperiodic cycle detection and persistence measurement) Box-Jenkins ARMA family of models (immense subject - linear prediction) Autoregressive Spectral Estimation (the freq domain use of AR ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Well so the ascending Red Channel has done its work and the price is back up. I believe that the effects of this channel are waning and the bulls are done. Hopefully, we can get the down move now so I can exit a winner. image
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Wow you are really very certain for somebody who isn't a pro forex trader. I understand that you are repeating conventional wisdom, but it is wrong. A SL is just as likely to cost you money as save it for you. In trending markets they can make ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
WE GET IT. The example you are citing is a possible way that the data supports your position. However, your example is in no way the default hypothesis for what should happen. Your example is a very specific, maximally-skewed possible outcome. ...
- Fractalist replied Jun 13, 2014
Awesome post Got Les Paul?
- Fractalist replied Jun 12, 2014
What exactly is a 'difficult market'? I agree it is a different market from all the others, but I have not found it to be more difficult than S&P500 futures or live hogs or corn or anything else. The difference in currencies is that, they alone, ...