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- rioMario replied Apr 18, 2016
maybe "bad news is good news", no hikes, equities run and dollar gets smashed.
- rioMario replied Mar 23, 2016
babbling fed officials way more hawkish than yellen and dollar clearly gains vs commodities and commodities currencies above all. --- a quirk: on the FOMC press transcription Yellen referring to a April hike as "a large possibility" (page 11) url ...
- rioMario replied Mar 17, 2016
in your view, 2016 highs or even 2015's in play at the moment? you mean weekly roll? thank you. --- here yellen killed my remaining gold shorts. On the forex, usdCad looks yummy at these levels: dollar sore wounded but not slain, and oil approaching ...
- rioMario replied Mar 16, 2016
closing half ahead of mrs Yellen. Hope to jackpot with the rest (1260=>1190) but really few clues from the market in the last few days. on euro: --1.118 first resistance --1.104 flip-zone (200DMA) --1.082 strong support good luck everyone
- rioMario replied Mar 12, 2016
wowowo it's getting crowded in here So, Draghi dropped the bazooka, but Germans said "no more". Looks like Draghi "accidentally" forgot that part of the speech and the blonde woman kindly reminded him to read the script (21:20 on the video => "we ...
- rioMario replied Mar 9, 2016
Euro QE is not working as expected. The best mr. Draghi can do is keep his currency low. The rest has to be done by governments. On the other side of the ocean, i think FED would be quite comfortable to allow a 1.05 eurUsd (but maybe a weaker dollar ...
- rioMario replied Mar 4, 2016
ok. closing the whole lot ar 1.099 very nice ride beyond expectation. looking for shorts in Gold loosing 1260 for the close to play the short leg => 1190 Have a nice we everyone.
- rioMario replied Mar 4, 2016
euro vs spx500 (yellow line is Gold). algos and cheap money making everything highly correlated these days.
- rioMario replied Mar 3, 2016
ok. I'll take 1.092 ahead of ISM. Closing half pos and trailing stop at 1.0875.
- rioMario replied Mar 2, 2016
thank you chester for the map. I'm not so sure about this one. I think an ECB flop (cut only and no +QE) would send eurUsd higher also on the knee-jerk reaction. Maybe not the same reaction as it was December 3, but still 100/150 pips.
- rioMario replied Mar 2, 2016
longs in but absolutely not comfortable with it. trailing stop but hoping to keep a buffer to play NFP (targeting 1.094 - 1.111). good luck everyone
- rioMario replied Feb 29, 2016
thanks fool. You see gold and treasuries reversal due to risk play back on track (fueled by central banks)?
- rioMario replied Feb 27, 2016
USA keeps printing really strong numbers and we witnessed a rate move on friday NY session (dollar up, gold down, commodities currencies down). To sisse, do you think a march hike could be back in play? About the short term eurUsd up leg, I would ...
- rioMario replied Feb 25, 2016
Nice bounce on the super level 1.0960 Again risk-off vs euro correlation is lost in the european session and this weighs on euro. I don't see too much headroom for this short term up swing you guys are seeing. Should it be related to the last ...
- rioMario replied Feb 22, 2016
no one would benefit from brexit. As usual we have small picture politicians setting up the show (think about mr johnson in bid for tory's leadership). Still to me brexit won't happen, as greece bankruptcy didn't happen and as Le Pen ruling France ...
- rioMario replied Feb 21, 2016
follow-up to last sunday eurUsd post. as expected risk-off fading and euro back hovering around 1.11. I see no clear edge on the instrument at the moment so waiting for march CBs or a serious Oil rumour confirmation (see fool's post) have a nice ...
- rioMario replied Feb 15, 2016
indeed, a clear (inverse) correlation with equities (s&p in the chart) can be seen in the last euro move (1.116->1.136->1.114)
- rioMario replied Feb 14, 2016
Here's my eurUsd map. I marked some key events: --> 22-10-15: very dovish draghi hinting a QE boost --> 28-10-15: FED firmly puts december hike on the agenda --> 03-12-15: draghi flop --> 27-01-16: FED dovish again on market turmoils So we have ECB ...
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