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- capitulation replied Feb 21, 2014
Starting to build a position for a run to 1.21xx in the coming months.
- capitulation replied Feb 21, 2014
I totally agree, I think there will better selling opportunities next week. I took a half lot long with the SL at break even for the rest of today.
- capitulation replied Feb 20, 2014
.666 is the devil. I closed most of my short that I have held for over a week. I still have a bearish bias but the price action doesn't look appealing for a further drop.
- capitulation replied Feb 20, 2014
Actually the elephant in the room is Japan. The trade of our lifetime will be shorting the yen. I think it is a coin flip between the EU and the US. I don't have the patience to break this down at the moment. From my point of view I live in the US ...
- capitulation replied Feb 19, 2014
I get what you are saying, but the huge wildcard here is that at least the US has Recapped its banks.
- capitulation replied Feb 19, 2014
Risk off in Japan after that trade deficit print might do it.
- capitulation replied Feb 19, 2014
Little bit of a risk offs bump. 63 would validate my bearish bias. If we don't close the week below 66 I will probably be out. This is another case where the fundamentals landed in line with my forecast, but the market reaction did not.
- capitulation replied Feb 19, 2014
Cavalry is on the way.
- capitulation replied Feb 18, 2014
image Still short. Looking to hit 1.635 in the coming days
- capitulation replied Feb 14, 2014
Not using a SL. Timed it wrong, sized it wrong , and it is levered too much. Even though my position is deep in the red my forecast hasn't changed. I'll probably let it go another 100 pips before I surrender. In all fairness though my trade explorer ...
- capitulation replied Feb 14, 2014
That's when the trades get asymmetrical. I shorted this to early again. My model even pointed to 167.47, but I just wanted to get in front of the trade for next week. This is a currency war and the next salvo is being launched by the brits next ...
- capitulation replied Feb 13, 2014
Short - Target 16348. I think I will be fine
- capitulation replied Feb 12, 2014
I have been thinking that for a while, but the price action points to a higher high. I took a small short, but I am expecting 167.xx to print this week.
- capitulation replied Feb 12, 2014
I thought she handled herself amazingly well. She seems more of a Dove than Bernanke which as a US citizen I am not to keen on. In my mind it is back to risk on and maybe for me taking some medium term Lira and emerging market trades.
- capitulation replied Feb 11, 2014
I feel it
- capitulation replied Feb 11, 2014
Let's do it
- capitulation replied Feb 10, 2014
I just have a different point of view. I can't imagine any emotionally mature person feeling embarrassment or ridicule when they are wrong. I think most traders and especially profitable traders only care about what their bank account thinks and ...
- capitulation replied Feb 10, 2014
Be careful not to confuse conviction with bravado. I seriously doubt anybody would hold on to a trade simply because of making their forecast publically available.
- capitulation replied Feb 10, 2014
Looks to me like you are buying the top of a multi year range. Time will tell, but please don't eat my money. If I close the trade out at a loss spend it on strippers.
- capitulation replied Feb 10, 2014
Any reason in particular on the target of 2.10? The New Zealand economy is booming.