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- Plenov replied Feb 20, 2019
Thing became quite clear yesterday: the euro’s fate also depends quite heavily on Brexit. Alongside Sterling the euro was also able to appreciate and move towards the mid-1.13s where it has not been trading since the start of last week. Of course ...
- Plenov replied Feb 20, 2019
The Brexit process seems to have been livened up again. The “Malthouse compromise” is making the rounds, a joint proposal by Brexit hardliners and more moderate Tory MPs. Is that the beginning of a last-minute breakthrough? The content is nothing ...
- Plenov replied Jan 9, 2019
Are you sure that this is the first source??
- Plenov replied Jan 9, 2019
There are no doubt arguments for why the Bank of Canada could take a break in the rate cycle tonight, as ¾ of the market expects. At its December meeting it maintained its restrictive approach but it sounded a little more cautious than in October ...
- Plenov replied Jan 9, 2019
The euro zone is unable to convince with sentiment improving economic data at the start of the year. In December inflation developed moderately and consumer sentiment is deteriorating increasingly. On the other side of the Atlantic new data on the ...
- Plenov replied Nov 23, 2018
In addition to the exit agreement, London and Brussels yesterday also agreed on a political declaration on the future relations between Great Britain and the EU. Even though some member states stated their displeasure with certain text passages it ...
- Plenov replied Oct 5, 2018
Decent growth – obviously supported by the tax cuts at the beginning of the year – a booming labour market and that combined with very moderate inflation rates. The US economy could hardly be in a better position. Only one thing does not fit into ...
- Plenov replied Oct 4, 2018
The political landscape in Sweden is bubbling. One week ago Prime Minister Stefan Lofven, who wanted to remain in office until a new government had been formed, was voted out in a parliamentary vote. The centre-right coalition and the populist ...
- Plenov replied Oct 4, 2018
I just hope that it was not Theresa May’s last dance when she came onto the stage of the party conference in Birmingham to the tune of Abba’s “Dancing Queen“ yesterday. At least she danced around the tricky details of Brexit in her concluding ...
- Plenov replied Sep 27, 2018
Is the state of the US economy the “best of all possible worlds”? One might think so. A humming economy and a labour market that has almost been swept clear do not – as is often the case – produce rampant inflation that the Fed then has to fight ...
- Plenov replied Sep 26, 2018
Jerome Powell distinguishes himself as Fed chairman by not trying to take centre place with attention grabbing speeches. But that is exactly what is going to happen tonight. Half an hour after the Fed announces the eight rate hike in the current ...
- Plenov replied Sep 3, 2018
Last week, the volatility of the UK pound caught many experts by surprise. The currency staged a rally of more than 1% after the main Brexit negotiator from the EU Michel Barnier promised to offer Britain an unprecedented partnership, although he ...
- Plenov replied Aug 30, 2018
Milk matters! Allegedly the Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs Chrystia Freeland seems to want to make concessions, in particular as far as the trade with dairy products is concerned (so far Canada is preventing the export of ultra-filtered milk ...
- Plenov replied Aug 30, 2018
The risk of a “no deal“ Brexit, i.e. Great Britain leaving the EU without any fixed agreements, is still being underestimated by the market, as the British government has spent most of the past two years creating obstacles for itself and dealing ...
- Plenov replied Aug 27, 2018
The economic symposium of the Kansas Fed in Jackson Hole did not provide any new about the Fed policy. The Fed – this was the main information provided by Chair Jerome Powell – sticks to its gradual interest rate policy. Some swashbuckling ...
- Plenov replied Aug 24, 2018
I don't think he'll give in.
- Plenov replied Aug 24, 2018
I don’t know how to put this diplomatically while still making myself totally clear: are we not currently dominated by the fear that the US President might cause an EM-wide crisis if he continues to post a distraction tweet condemning an EM country ...
- Plenov replied Aug 23, 2018
It is not due to growth that Norges Bank refrained from commenting on monetary policy after September last week. The economy is likely to have grown again up North in Q2 and not only as a result of the oil price - as the Q2 GDP data confirmed this ...
- Plenov replied Aug 23, 2018
The imminent parliamentary elections in Sweden are repeatedly given as the reason why the krona is coming under pressure. Concerns about an election victory of the nationalist Swedish Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna, SD) are worrying investors. In ...
- Plenov replied Aug 23, 2018
The US President was probably distracted by other things and therefore did not notice that the Fed is unwittingly cocking a snook at him in its minutes, by stating its own expectations for the rate hike cycle: as long as the economy develops in line ...