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- 212 Results (48 Replies , 164 Comments )
- OZTrader22 commented May 20, 2019
Yeah, need to watch this like a hawk. A hike might be needed but no hike needed near term. I take this as slightly more hawkish and would have thought the AUD would rally here. Hasn't yet. Maybe more downside
- OZTrader22 replied Oct 25, 2017
Yep, a lot of people are forecasting rate hikes in OZ for 1st Q 2018 and I agree. ANZ/NAB are forecasting 2 hikes next year. I agree the data doesn't really support OZ hikes. But I think central banks followed the fed lower for years and now they ...
- OZTrader22 commented Sep 11, 2017
Raise rates
- OZTrader22 commented Aug 2, 2017
I agree. People thought Frank Ribbery was nuts going to Bayern with offers from BIG clubs but they won the CL and German league has improved a lot. Same could happen to PSG if they get a lot of success with Neymar
- OZTrader22 replied Aug 2, 2017
Over the medium to long term, I have changed to very bearish on the USD although there could be a some volatility near term. I know I know, RSI is stretched, commitment of traders, big move already.... But did some historical research and I think ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 27, 2017
Eur/usd is going over 1.20, maybe 1.22 or 1.23. New multi year highs to convince everyone to jump on the breakout and then it will fake everyone out and turn down
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 23, 2017
I agree, I think eur/usd bursts through 1.18 and clears 2 year high of 1.17 easily. A multi year fake out to 1.20 or 1.22 is on the cards.
- OZTrader22 commented Jul 23, 2017
Over time, it also reduces the money supply making that currency more scarce and more valuable.
- OZTrader22 commented Jul 20, 2017
Says Rates are affected by other countries interest rates. Everyone is in low interest environment which is why RBA rates are low.
- OZTrader22 commented Jul 20, 2017
Good question. I thought the eur/usd could hit 1.15 but now it is just on a tear. I'm just sitting back with popcorn and watching. If the ECB can't bring it down, surely there is still more to go. On current momentum, why can't it hit 1.18?
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 12, 2017
Hi Fontu, what possibility do you see AUD/USD in a long term channel and bouncing off of 77/78 levels back toward 72?
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 11, 2017
Thanks Fontu
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 11, 2017
EUR/USD on a tear. It's got to hit 1.16 - that medium term level resistance reasonably quickly. Good news=EUR up. Bad news=shallow retracement. Textbook sentiment indicators for a bull market.
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 11, 2017
Looks good. Any views on AUD Fontu?
- OZTrader22 commented Jul 5, 2017
I believe this: 8. A the same time, a research of Dr. John Forman found that 99.6% of retail forex traders are unable to achieve more than 4 back-to-back profitable quarters.
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 4, 2017
Not that I know of. RBA just held rates an hour ago and was not hawkish and the AUD tanked. Soon after I noticed other USD pairs start to strengthen against NZD and then EUR. Don't know if it's just coincidence or if USD is just gaining against ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 3, 2017
Hey Fontu, so you are thinking it could go any way at this stage. I'm with you. I'm short with a small position but I know it could rebound higher. Although people are against all this parity talk, I believe it will happen I just don't know where ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 3, 2017
I'm long USD, already in profit but after being taken out 3 times over the past month or so I know a rebound could happen. My position is smaller than normal so I can take a loss, but I'M wondering, is this the bottom for the USD...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 3, 2017
That prediction is from Chigrl (twitter). Pretty respected professional trader. I mean never say never, but it is hard to believe it will go that high. But hey, could happen. Let's see.