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- Jade Gate commented Jun 9, 2024
This kind of stuff isn't even worth looking at and there's a lot of it around. Analysts saying ..... here is support, here is resistance (according to whatever TA they are using). If we go up then xyz, if we go down then abc. About as helpful as ...
- Jade Gate commented Jun 8, 2024
Well he was definitely singing from the Fed's hymn book. A true believer. Why is it that some of our Yank cousins are so prone to believing their own rhetoric, and often don't see what's right in front of them? 10 year yield up following NFP, this ...
- Jade Gate commented Jun 4, 2024
And the SNB will be all over that like a rash.
- Jade Gate commented Jun 2, 2024
The trajectory into the debt abyss began in 2008 with QE. Govt sanctioned bail outs, money printing, the US Fed and govt's both flavours ever since quite happy to keep bank rolling it. At least QT is in full flight now. But the pigeons are coming ...
- Jade Gate commented May 28, 2024
Woulda, shoulda, coulda ..... yawn. Too late now. More inclined to think USD weakness will continue now through to November. Market has the scent of what's coming.
- Jade Gate commented May 26, 2024
Funny. Normal people vs economists. The normal people have a better grip on economics that the "experts" (drips under pressure).
- Jade Gate commented May 26, 2024
Good analysis re why no intervention is likely. It would be nice to see some broader discussion around the Yen's risk on/risk off status too and the relationship it has with equities performance.
- Jade Gate commented May 15, 2024
Can it possibly be, that market is FINALLY getting the point that bad US data is NOT in fact good for equities, since there is no more bail out money to be had? And that bad US data means the USD is staring down the barrel of rate hikes, not cuts?
- Jade Gate commented May 14, 2024
Correct, no rate cuts for the Fed. More likely hiking but until that happens, USD confidence is being tested. It's going to be a volatile ride for the USD. Bond market will be going bat shit crazy on this data = bad for equities. More CPI data ...
- Jade Gate commented May 14, 2024
you know me too well. No telling secrets out of school. But see, the US is stuffed unless they can get the price of oil to drop out of the sky
- Jade Gate commented May 14, 2024
Sibling rivalry ECB and BOE. Who's gonna be first past the post? They both wanna smack the US Fed's rear end, and smacked hard it will be if either of them get to the rate reduction post before the Fed (wailing and gnashing of teeth, how could we ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 28, 2024
Very much doubt that "officials" will act. More like market itself will do the job and do it thoroughly. Call it instinct (and timing).
- Jade Gate commented Apr 25, 2024
They won't intervene. They have their instructions from Mummy. They will be the obedient children that they are. It must suck for them being told how to behave. Unlike the SNB who is all grown up and makes their own decisions without consulting ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 23, 2024
Aus has all kinds of social security type payments for parents to incentivize people to breed. If you have 4 kids, you (as the stay at home parent) never have to work, and collect a motza from the govt. Only problem is that the ppl who do breed 4+ ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 23, 2024
And here's a known but somewhat unusual chart pattern on monthly time frame EURNZD - the cup and handle. Rule is the handle needs to stay above 50% retrace of the cup. If so, big north binge coming. And it does look that way to this trader. A longer ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 23, 2024
Here's the lowdown on actual expected NZ balance of trade number and it ain't pretty, almost double the negative digits on FF calendar url New Zealand recorded a trade deficit of 218.10 NZD Million in February of 2024. Balance of Trade in New ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 23, 2024
Aus had lockdowns like everywhere else but not nearly as harsh as NZ, and we maintained shipping both commercial trade and tourism cruise ships. NZ is busy importing tons of immigrants to deal with the outflow of NZ citizens to Aus. Aus has been ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 23, 2024
Ahern shut down just about everything during Covid, way harsher than anywhere else. Couldn't even get take-away food - forced the fast food outlets to shut up shop. Imports came to a grinding halt. Exports too, can't have those nasty germ ridden ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 23, 2024
Good analysis. Many Kiwi young people with skills leaving permanently for much higher paid work in Aus. Was over there for the ski season last year, it just looked terrible. Housing prices are completely off the grid. Over-government ex Ahern's ...
- Jade Gate commented Apr 20, 2024
The USD is a lot structurally weaker than the talking heads seem to think. Market will as always, do exactly as it pleases, likely go into irrational mode sometime soon. Need your wits about you.