How Traders Are Using Prediction Markets to Track Market Risk in Real Time

From financemagnates.com

Crypto markets are gripped with extreme fear, while stocks from Seoul to Tokyo have been hit by a broad risk-off selloff. At the same time, prediction markets are offering a real-time look at how traders are pricing everything from Bitcoin downside risk to geopolitical escalation. A look across major prediction markets suggests traders expect market volatility to persist, even after the recent selloff in stocks and cryptocurrencies. On Polymarket, contracts tied to Bitcoin's price path in 2026 have become increasingly skewed toward lower price targets. Even after a 50% decline from its peak, prediction markets remain ... (full story)