The ECB in July: Hike or Stop | Crypto Craft

  • The ECB in July: Hike or Stop

    From swissmacroandhistory.substack.com

    It is hard to make sense of market expectations of ECB policy. As the chart below shows, markets are pricing in a gradual increase in interest rates of 0.75% in total this year, with hikes of 0.25% expected in June, September and December. Interest rates are then expected to remain at 2.75% through the first part of 2027. This pricing makes little sense to me. One can imagine two interpretations of these expectations. One is that markets expect inflation to rise modestly and then stabilise and drift back toward target. Another is that markets believe the ECB will repeatedly underestimate inflation pressures and be ... (full story)

Comment Options
gameysf911
1 hr 9 min ago
Permalink
not possible for ECB to hike June, September and December. hike in this week June yes.

But september and december cannot be. The eurozone debt is at a very high level. Increasing interest rates will create the debt issue and slow down growth.

june hike one time. a second time hike this year will be 50%-50%
Reply
Trader#BF38
3 hr ago
Permalink
A bit of energy shock then want to hike rate then why before not going to lower rate ….. zZzZzz what a lame
Reply
  • Story Stats

  • Related Stories