Here's the exact oil price that would tip the U.S. into a recession - and we're getting closer as the Iran conflict drags on | Crypto Craft

  • Here's the exact oil price that would tip the U.S. into a recession - and we're getting closer as the Iran conflict drags on

    From morningstar.com

    A bulletproof U.S. economy has shot past a series of shocks since the 2020 pandemic and grown for five straight years, but soaring oil prices tied to the Iran war have emerged as a potential trigger for recession. What would it take to tip the U.S. into recession? Oil prices climbing to at least $140 a barrel and staying at that level for months could push the economy into a downturn, analysts say. And while it's possible the economy could withstand prices that high, if oil rises to $175 a barrel, it would almost certainly tip the U.S. into a recession. Oil prices (CL.1) were hovering around $100 a barrel on Friday, ... (full story)

Comment Options
ffghost
Mar 21, 2026 10:52pm
Permalink
While I appreciate the analysis and comparisons to prior situations (and, of paramount importance, the necessity to sell fear), let's be 1000% clear, Morningstar: there is zero, absolutely NO way to know for certain the "exact" price of oil that puts America into recession.....I mean, come on. Really?

That's like saying "this is the exact time it is going to rain on June 16th, 2026"....ANYTHING can happen. Oil can be $110 and we can be in a recession. It can spike to $250 and something wild happens economically that doesn't cause a recession.

Fear mongering.


....all that said, higher prices > inflation > no rate cuts for 'good' reasons > ... > ..... > recession isn't a wildly out of whack idea, so I get it, but never say "exact" in a title.
Reply
wizzytech100
Mar 22, 2026 7:45am
Permalink
Over $200 a barrel is coming sooner than you think.
Reply
Jwosjw
Mar 21, 2026 11:06pm
Permalink
Quoting ffghost
While I appreciate the analysis and comparisons to prior situations (and, of paramount importance, the necessity to sell fear), let's be 1000% clear, Morningstar: there is zero, absolutely NO way to know for certain the "exact" price of oil that puts America into recession.....I mean, come on. Really? That's like saying "this is the exact time it is going to rain on June 16th, 2026"....ANYTHING can happen. Oil can be $110 and we can be in a recession. It can spike to $250 and something wild happens economically that doesn't cause...
A "spike" is not something you'll see unless you're referring to a "10 year" chart. Once Trumpstein + Iran damage enough infrastructure, it will take years to rebuild.
Congress needs to stop the orange chomo and his small hat cohorts or we're in for a rough one. It's not "fear pron". I urge you to listen to the real, in the field experts, not jew/sh econ professors who only theorize with bias
Reply
Balogunalaba
Mar 22, 2026 12:13am
Permalink
The Fear Gauge of Oil Price and economic condition is a threath from Iran and their consented supporters just to make everyone reason with them as innocent to the allegations from Trump but why would Iran hold down the strait of Hormuz just to create chaos as if they are innocent

  • Related Stories

Trump: If Iran doesn’t fully open, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 hrs, USA will hit and obliterate their power plants
From @realDonaldTrump | Mar 21, 2026 | 114 comments
If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Congress looks for Trump’s exit plan as the Iran war drags on
From apnews.com | Mar 21, 2026 | 18 comments
President Donald Trump took the United States to war without a vote of support from Congress, but lawmakers are increasingly questioning when, how and at what cost the war with Iran will come to an end. Three weeks into the conflict, the toll is becoming apparent. At least 13 U.S. military personnel have died, and more than 230 have been wounded. A $200 ...
Iran to 'completely' close Strait of Hormuz if power plants hit
From @zerohedge | Mar 22, 2026 | 108 comments
*IRAN TO 'COMPLETELY' CLOSE STRAIT OF HORMUZ IF POWER PLANTS HIT IRANIAN PRESIDENT: THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ IS OPEN TO ALL EXCEPT THOSE WHO VIOLATE OUR LAND, AND WE CONFRONT RECKLESS THREATS FIRMLY ON THE BATTLEFIELD. ... IRANIAN PRESIDENT: THE ILLUSION OF ERASING IRAN FROM THE MAP REVEALS DESPERATION, AND THREATS AND TERRORISM ONLY INCREASE OUR STRENGTH AND COHESION. ...
  • Story Stats