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Observations from Fed Statement, Forecasts and Press Conference
The press release reads very much like the one seven weeks earlier. Again and as was very widely expected, the federal funds rate was left unchanged at 3.50-3.75%. The insertion of a new sentence in paragraph two stating “the implications of developments in the Middle East for the U.S. economy are uncertain” merely states the obvious that elevated uncertainty has become even more so. A more interesting modification was that Governor Christopher Waller’s vote shifted from a dissent in late January that had favored a 25-basis point interest rate cut to agreeing this time with the overwhelming majority to leave ... (full story)
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From pepperstone.com | Mar 18, 2026
As expected, and bang in line with market pricing, the FOMC maintained the target range for the fed funds rate between 3.50% - 3.75% at the conclusion of the March meeting, extending a pause in the easing cycle which began in January, amid an increasingly uncertain economic outlook in light of ongoing conflict in the Middle East, and the subsequent sharp ...
The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States. It performs five general functions to promote the effective operation of the U.S. economy and, more generally, the public interest. The Federal Reserve conducts the nations monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. ...
Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have remained low, and the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months. Inflation remains somewhat elevated. The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The implications of developments in the Middle East for the U.S. economy are uncertain. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate. In support of its goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3‑1/2 to 3‑3/4 percent. In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective. In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments. FOMC STATEMENT COMPARE pic.twitter.com/UcWP3V984g FED SAYS IS 'ATTENTIVE' TO RISKS TO BOTH SIDES OF DUAL MANDATE FED: VOTE IN FAVOR OF POLICY WAS 11-1, WITH GOVERNOR MIRAN DISSENTING IN FAVOR OF 25-BASIS-POINT RATE CUT