US Personal Income and Outlays, January 2026 | Crypto Craft

  • US Personal Income and Outlays, January 2026

    From bea.gov

    Personal income increased $113.8 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in January, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $219.9 billion (0.9 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $81.1 billion (0.4 percent). This report for January 2026, originally scheduled for February 26, 2026, was rescheduled due to the October–November 2025 government shutdown. Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer ... (full story)

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rosy440
Mar 13, 2026 11:26am
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PCE inflation data has been released:

Headline PCE came out at 2.8%, which is below expectations and the previous reading of 2.9%. (These are still not the latest figures, as they are for January.)

Core PCE came out at 3.1%, in line with expectations (3.1%) and above the previous reading of 3.0%. (Also for January.)

Analyzing or relying heavily on the PCE data doesn’t make much sense right now, as it comes with a significant time lag. What’s more interesting is something else:

Truflation data for the PCE Price Index has risen sharply recently, which may indicate that the impact of higher oil prices is already starting to feed into prices. (The levels are not critical yet, but the upward trend is noticeable.)

Regarding the Federal Reserve rate, as of yesterday there appeared a small probability that rates could be raised. Of course, we are talking about a micro-probability, but the shift in market sentiment itself is interesting.
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