US consumer confidence improves in February | Crypto Craft

  • US consumer confidence improves in February

    From breakingthenews.net

    Consumer sentiment in the United States continued to improve in February, according to a final monthly report published by the University of Michigan on Friday. The index increased by 0.6% on a monthly basis to 56.6, while it dropped by 12.5% on an annual level. Additionally, the figure came in line with the preliminary reading. At the same time, the Current Economic Conditions Index increased by 2.2% in the reported period compared to January and decreased by 13.9% compared to February 2025, standing at 56.6 points. The Index of Consumer Expectations lost 0.7% on a monthly basis and lost 11.6% on a yearly basis, ... (full story)

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ffghost
Feb 20, 2026 9:58am
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Ironically, this is a very interesting figure that isn't getting much talk (for obvious reasons).

I, for one, have NEVER been a believer in these numbers because what the heck does the average consumer know about inflation expectations? I do believe, however, that the markets use them as a gauge for spending patterns/expectations.

That said, recent commentary surrounding the polling suggests a 3:2 democratic:republican respondent ratio. Why is this important? Well, if you dislike the administration and their policies, you are more likely to have less confidence in the economy. So, if consumer confidence is low in this case, it could be somewhat brushed off....more democrats polled, we would expect things to be lower/lowering. However, since the number is improving despite the ratio, that MIGHT (I say might because who the heck knows?) suggest a 'balanced' respondent pool is more confident.....thus more likely to spend.....thus driving the economy forward.

Perhaps there are simply too many "ifs" for markets to react ...but, then again, markets react to much less conjecture.
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