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Traders Wager on Third Fed Cut in 2026 as Inflation Ebbs
Traders priced in higher odds that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more than twice this year, unleashing gains in the Treasury market, after a gauge of US inflation eased. The consumer price index rose less than estimated in January, potentially allaying the concerns of some Fed policymakers that inflation remains too high to cut rates further in response to signs of weakness in the job market. Employment data released this week were stronger than anticipated, prompting traders to abandon wagers on a Fed rate cut before mid-year. At that point, the central bank may be led by former Fed Governor Kevin ... (full story)