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Monthly PMI Bulletin: Global economic growth slows amid subdued confidence
The global economic expansion slowed in the closing month of 2025. This was amid subdued confidence and stalled employment, though price pressures were muted, paving the way for further policy support in the new year. The J.P.Morgan Global PMI Composite Output Index – produced by S&P Global – posted 52.0 in December, down from 52.7 in November. This is the lowest reading for six months, falling further below the long-run average. The December PMI is broadly consistent with global GDP growing at an annualized rate of 2.4%, which is lower than the average GDP growth rate of 3.1% observed in the decade prior to the ... (full story)
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From wellsfargo.bluematrix.com|Jan 13, 2026|2 commentsThe CPI report covering the final month of 2025 generally was encouraging. Core CPI in December rose 12 bps less than our forecast, largely on the back of a smaller-than-expected ...
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From think.ing.com|Jan 14, 2026China’s exports grew by 6.6% year on year in December, up from 5.9% in November, beating our and market expectations for a moderation. On the year, exports rose 5.5% YoY, just a ...
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From @LiveSquawk|Jan 14, 2026|2 commentsECB De Guindos: Inflation Remains In A Good Place - Geopolitical Risk Noticeably Raises Downside Risks To Growth - Financial Stability Risks Remain Elevated As Valuations Are Stretched In Increasingly Concentrated Asset Markets
De Guindos: Monetary policy and financial stability in the euro area The global economy is facing a period of profound transformation and heightened uncertainty. The past year has brought major shifts in the international economic environment, driven by significant changes in US policy and the erosion of the multilateral, rules-based system which has long supported global trade and international relations. The introduction of substantial tariffs on US imports has disrupted trade flows, weakened confidence and created ripple effects across economies. Geopolitical risks remain elevated. The shift to a new paradigm – one where rule of law principles are challenged – reflects profound global uncertainties that are likely to persist. These developments have had tangible implications for economic activity and financial stability in the euro area. Heightened uncertainty weighs on growth prospects through two main channels: by delaying firms’ investment decisions and so affecting euro area exports, and by prompting households to increase precautionary savings and consume less than expected. At the same time, fiscal policy in several euro area countries is set to ease to accommodate higher spending, including for
