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Miran: The Inflation Outlook
Thank you, Mr. Secretary. I appreciate the opportunity to speak here today.1 When I offered my assessment of policy in my first speech as a Federal Reserve Governor in September, I assumed inflation for core goods and nonhousing core services would continue to run at current rates.2 While that was a useful working assumption at the time, today I will break down my inflation outlook in more detail. Specifically, I'll share my interpretation of inflation's components and how this influences my perception of progress toward our 2 percent target. Shelter Inflation Shelter costs are top of mind for households, and a large ... (full story)
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FED’S MIRAN: CURRENT EXCESS INFLATION IS NOT REFLECTIVE OF UNDERLYING SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN THE ECONOMY
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) December 15, 2025
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Fed's Miran: I expect a faster fall in PCE shelter inflation.
— FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) December 15, 2025
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Fed's Miran argues tariffs aren't driving higher goods inflation.
— FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) December 15, 2025
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Fed's Miran argues a measure of underlying inflation near 2%.
— FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) December 15, 2025
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From @financialjuice|Dec 15, 2025Fed's Miran: If shelter inflation does not decline, it might change the outlook for inflation overall. Fed's Miran: I don't see evidence of concern in the inflation expectations data. Fed's Miran: I expect better GDP growth and lower deficits from tariff revenue. Fed's Miran: I do not support sales of mortgage-backed securities because it might, at this point, involve the Fed realizing losses on its holdings.
From @FirstSquawk|Dec 15, 2025|17 commentsHASSETT FED CANDIDACY GOT SOME PUSHBACK CLOSE TO TRUMP: CNBC SOME TRUMP ALLIES SEE HASSETT AS TOO CLOSE TO PRESIDENT: CNBC
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