ADP weekly US employment -11,250 | Crypto Craft

  • ADP weekly US employment -11,250

    From investinglive.com

    The weekly data from ADP is turning into a market mover. The initial report showed a healthy +14,250 jobs but skip ahead two weeks and it's now showing a drop of 11,250K per week on average for the past four weeks. That should translate into a poor reading, though ADP itself reported +42K jobs in October. I'm not sure how to square that but today's ADP release said the labor market struggled to produce jobs consistently during the second half of October.

Added at 7:43am

  • Dollar Dumps As ADP Report Shows Big Job Losses In October, Small Biz Optimism Hits 6 Month Lows

    From zerohedge.com

    Recent announcements of large layoffs at a few prominent companies have raised concerns that the labor market could be weakening further, and today's new weekly ADP employment report confirms that fear. The ADP weekly jobless report pointed to a deterioration in US labor momentum, stating that “for the four weeks ending Oct. 25, 2025, private employers shed an average of 11,250 jobs a week, suggesting that the labor market struggled to produce jobs consistently during the second half of the month.” A sustained increase in layoffs would be particularly concerning now because the hiring rate is low and it is harder ... (full story)

Comment Options
Twocans
Nov 11, 2025 2:53pm
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Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} Well his comment is poignant re: the equity markets . You only have to look at this in the context of the last 2 decades , the debasement of the currency , the amount of billionaires , the wealth divide and wealth distribution, to see essentially the anonymous poster has a very valid point . I’ll hand it over to you, for a valid response, non political of course . You get my drift though , it’s a direction which is very similar to the National Debt ie unsustainable
No disagreement there. Washington DC needs term limits for all elected government officials to prevent them from building 'nests'. ALL of Them.
Vancarbon
Nov 11, 2025 2:15pm
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Lol !

It’s horrible when you dent someone’s ego , they never let you forget .

In fact , it’s worth 2 lols

- Congratulations

He’s the best hindsight trader on this platform by a country mile .

Dont worry Ferna - this is 35T , the guy who literally follows me around and hangs on my every comment .
Reply
Twocans
Nov 11, 2025 10:51am
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Quoting Trader#6A0F
Usa is a con show. There is no job creation since a year. Blame immigrants for stealing their jobs but in reality there are no jobs for americans. Businesses are not hiring like they were in past
I want to know why you haven't been featured on CNN or MSNBC?
Fractality
Nov 11, 2025 7:50am
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Don’t trust ADP that much…
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Trader#6A0F
Nov 11, 2025 9:59am
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Usa is a con show. There is no job creation since a year. Blame immigrants for stealing their jobs but in reality there are no jobs for americans. Businesses are not hiring like they were in past
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Nordling
Nov 11, 2025 9:14am
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I see people talking about buying/selling Gold over ADP... You guys know that Gold prices are not that sensitive to yields right?

Overall yes it's a bad ADP number, and people who downplay the importance of it should remember that it's not just ADP that is showing weakness, Challanger & Gray just released a data last week that showed there were over 150,000 layoffs in October.

ADP may not be an important catalyst on its own, but it's one of many labor market indicators that shows weakness. So in the big picture, rate cuts are inevitable. Price it in when you can
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Vancarbon
Nov 11, 2025 12:24pm
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Quoting Twocans
{quote}I want to know why you haven't been featured on CNN or MSNBC?
Well his comment is poignant re: the equity markets .
You only have to look at this in the context of the last 2 decades , the debasement of the currency , the amount of billionaires , the wealth divide and wealth distribution, to see essentially the anonymous poster has a very valid point .

I’ll hand it over to you, for a valid response, non political of course .

You get my drift though , it’s a direction which is very similar to the National Debt ie unsustainable
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LightchaserG
Nov 12, 2025 6:55am
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I trust ADP more than BLS, and now that it is under TACO control, it's no surprise that the figures will never be the real ones. gold to $5K by year end :-p and Silver to $60.00. - - - Let's hope, cause you never know!
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Twocans
Nov 11, 2025 10:47am
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Quoting Ashborn14
{quote} These unexpected newses are gonna blow my account for sure again SL hit on EURUSD
EUR/USD is my favorite pair for sure because of the constant liquidity action but as of now it is running counter (UP) on a daily to the bigger picture rolling over so its on the sideline till momo shifts back down for me. USD/CAD has been, and still is, making HH and HL's and is in a pullback to major support just above 1.400, The TJR "London Session Fakeout" move up got hammered backdown but it looks like it may hold the New York Session low today and head back North. I want that fair value gap above and the Trend is your Friend, especially on higher time frames.
objective
Nov 11, 2025 10:21am
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Softbank sold their entire stake in Nvidia. Big beautiful bubble is coming to the end. Also, economic data that was papered by this bubble, is finally coming to the focus. Fed cuts will follow. Things look bleak for USD in the near future. It will be lower for longer environment.
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Dutchy Daxy
Nov 11, 2025 10:03am
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Quoting Mohitkhand
Gold buy or sell ???
NO chart yourself?

I would sell but U are to late already.........
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aleena1
Nov 11, 2025 7:52am
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gold bullish
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Twocans
Nov 11, 2025 7:37am
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USD/CAD 'DEEP DIVE' LIQUIDITY SWEEP AT OPEN OF NY SESSION. Look for reversal with HH and HL AFTER THE GRAP.
fx6996
Nov 11, 2025 8:29am
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Quoting wujanni
eur/usd buy or sell
Nothing personal but if you have to ask - you probably shouldn't be trading - just keeping it real:

Buy EU as it broke 1.16
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fx6996
Nov 11, 2025 8:30am
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Quoting Trader#234B
Hahahaha “the strongest economy”…I wondered why USD CHF sunk like Titanic
In the land of the blind the 1 eyed Jack rules!
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fx6996
Nov 11, 2025 8:31am
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Quoting Anon12345678
Rate cut not gonna happen. Buy oversold USD
Oh yes it is...CUT
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Twocans
Nov 11, 2025 9:09am
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Bammm! (Nobody gets a break with Market makers). lol but it held 1.140 ...so far.
Dragomir6
Nov 11, 2025 7:35am
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ok let's buy it then and see where will that lead us
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BaliBoyz80
Nov 11, 2025 9:10am
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really worst data. after re-open, so many homework for us gov, and almost end of year. 2 months work left, can Us gov get back wht they lose in this shutdown period ?
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Trader#AAB0
Nov 11, 2025 7:31am
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Rate cut in dec. Sell usd
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Trader#234B
Nov 11, 2025 7:33am
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Hahahaha “the strongest economy”…I wondered why USD CHF sunk like Titanic
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Trader#EE4D
Nov 11, 2025 7:37am
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an impact news is not on the list
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Anon12345678
Nov 11, 2025 7:37am
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Rate cut not gonna happen. Buy oversold USD
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Trader#6AE6
Nov 11, 2025 8:45am
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This data would bear zero weight if normal gov’t data was being released. Shutdown set to end Wednesday. Data contradicts monthly adp report from last week, also can’t even find it on adp website weird?… would think govt reopening (tomorrow?) would have a bigger boost than this inconsequential data no?… Eur shot back up to long term bearish trend line. If it consolidates or contracts from here looking for a potential breakdown.
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Luxyus
Nov 11, 2025 8:20am
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noisy....

redbook more reliable, retail sales are recovering
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 24 KB
UncleIroh
Nov 11, 2025 7:33am
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ADP is always off
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Mohitkhand
Nov 11, 2025 7:34am
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Gold buy or sell ???
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Forexgang
Nov 11, 2025 7:38am
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Gold buy
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Trader#8835
Nov 11, 2025 7:38am
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How often has adp turned out to be correct? Not many. Their own data completely contradicts itself. How is it useful if one of their reports shows a gain and another shows a loss?
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Orajidaniel
Nov 11, 2025 7:39am
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gold low timeframe sell
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Trader#833D
Nov 11, 2025 7:39am
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Quoting Trader#AAB0
Rate cut in dec. Sell usd
Already priced in. USD is a buy.
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Salih-Real
Nov 11, 2025 7:46am
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Gold
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Trader#FA5B
Nov 11, 2025 8:05am
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dxy has another scam dip left before we have the slow painful rise up where everything goes up and nothing makes sense. Start buying or get left behind!!!!
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Mohitkhand
Nov 11, 2025 8:11am
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Gold buy or sell ???
Reply
irfanali0x0
Nov 11, 2025 8:12am
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best crypto news
Reply
wujanni
Nov 11, 2025 8:26am
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eur/usd buy or sell
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Trader#E14A
Nov 11, 2025 8:28am
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Quoting Luxyus
noisy.... redbook more reliable, retail sales are recovering {image}
It’s same-store sales, y/y, nominal (prices + volumes). It’s high-frequency and noisy, not seasonally adjusted.

The re-acceleration from late-Oct says holiday-season demand is stabilizing/rebounding, but with CPI ~3–4% y/y, the real (inflation-adjusted) signal is modest.

In the current data-blackout context it can sway rates at the margin, but it’s not a primary macro driver id say unlike employment, CPI/retail-sales or claims.
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Chetamnik
Nov 11, 2025 8:44am
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This is interesting
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rayanfx
Nov 11, 2025 8:44am
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Quoting wujanni
eur/usd buy or sell
thx bro
Reply
Trader#6FDD
Nov 11, 2025 8:45am
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NPCs (or out of touch boomers) be like: "this data is false, confusing or both because the economy is strong and resilient. If the government says the economy is in good shape, then the economy is in good shape."

People with brain: "data consistent with the rotting economy"
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Trader#D584
Nov 11, 2025 9:14am
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Quoting Trader#6FDD
NPCs (or out of touch boomers) be like: "this data is false, confusing or both because the economy is strong and resilient. If the government says the economy is in good shape, then the economy is in good shape." People with brain: "data consistent with the rotting economy"
Seems more likely you are incapable of reading. ADP said last week that Oct jobs were plus 42k, now they say minus 45k. So which is it, plus 42k or minus 45k? Those are wildly far apart. One is obviously completely wrong, but both data points are from the same company a week apart.

If anyone doesn’t know, ADP is a joke, they have never been accurate, so none of its data is reliable.
Reply
Ashborn14
Nov 11, 2025 9:27am
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Quoting Trader#EE4D
an impact news is not on the list
These unexpected newses are gonna blow my account for sure again SL hit on EURUSD
Reply
Ashborn14
Nov 11, 2025 9:28am
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Quoting Trader#5BE6
What a timing to contribute to my short.
These unexpected newses buddy my SL also got hit
Reply
Trader#A9DD
Nov 11, 2025 10:53am
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Quoting objective
Softbank sold their entire stake in Nvidia. Big beautiful bubble is coming to the end. Also, economic data that was papered by this bubble, is finally coming to the focus. Fed cuts will follow. Things look bleak for USD in the near future. It will be lower for longer environment.
Maybe read the whole story before posting false information. SoftBank sold multiple things and they are still very tied to Nvidia and they specifically said they th8nk the stock is going higher. They just wanted the cash to go all in on a huge investment in OpenAI. So your narrative that is somehow bad for ai is completely wrong, it’s actually the opposite. I don’t know if they will be right but they are about as bullish ai as you can be.
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Trader#A6A0
Nov 11, 2025 12:36pm
Permalink
Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} Well his comment is poignant re: the equity markets . You only have to look at this in the context of the last 2 decades , the debasement of the currency , the amount of billionaires , the wealth divide and wealth distribution, to see essentially the anonymous poster has a very valid point . I’ll hand it over to you, for a valid response, non political of course . You get my drift though , it’s a direction which is very similar to the National Debt ie unsustainable
Oh look, king diuchebag is trying to call someone out, isn’t that cute lol.

Show one time you didn’t tell everyone to short the market and a crash was coming in the last six months. Until you do that you are an embarrassment. Literally every post for 2100 SPX points up is about a crash coming. You honestly can’t make this stuff up. Wrong about everything everyday for 6 months and you think you can call someone else out? Comical.
Reply
Trader#7DC6
Nov 11, 2025 1:32pm
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Only boomers believe the economy is good as their wealth continues to grow due to the rise in the stock market. Eventually, this ignorant part of the population will face reality as well and then we'll see how good they think the economy really is. I lost everything, what happened... it came out of the blue and similar ignorant comments will flood the news when stock market craters due to a spike in the debt market. Fools only look at the fuc'ing Dow Jones index... and CNBC gladly covers Dow every day to convince boomers that everything is alright. No mention of gold and silver, especially the debt.
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Trader#7DC6
Nov 11, 2025 1:36pm
Permalink
Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} Well his comment is poignant re: the equity markets . You only have to look at this in the context of the last 2 decades , the debasement of the currency , the amount of billionaires , the wealth divide and wealth distribution, to see essentially the anonymous poster has a very valid point . I’ll hand it over to you, for a valid response, non political of course . You get my drift though , it’s a direction which is very similar to the National Debt ie unsustainable
They literally admitted to only watching CNN and other shit like that, so any further discussion with this person is pointless. They are either rich, a government agent or a boomer. Definitely out of touch with reality.
Reply
Trader#7A43
Nov 11, 2025 11:13pm
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Quoting Trader#A6A0
{quote} Oh look, king diuchebag is trying to call someone out, isn’t that cute lol. Show one time you didn’t tell everyone to short the market and a crash was coming in the last six months. Until you do that you are an embarrassment. Literally every post for 2100 SPX points up is about a crash coming. You honestly can’t make this stuff up. Wrong about everything everyday for 6 months and you think you can call someone else out? Comical.
Yea get him trader A6A0!;D
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Trader#6207
Nov 11, 2025 7:34am
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Huh?
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Trader#5BE6
Nov 11, 2025 7:36am
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What a timing to contribute to my short.
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Trader#2910
Nov 11, 2025 7:46am
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Thank your for sharing
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Trader#4BB1
Nov 11, 2025 7:54am
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Gold bulish higher timeframe
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Trader#E711
Nov 11, 2025 7:56am
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BTC to the moon
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Trader#6D47
Nov 11, 2025 7:58am
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GOLD BEARISH
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Trader#E14A
Nov 11, 2025 8:29am
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Quoting wujanni
eur/usd buy or sell
buy an 8 ball , shake it and see what it says, then trade that direction
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Trader#ECFF
Nov 11, 2025 8:44am
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Quoting Trader#833D
{quote} Already priced in. USD is a buy.

How can it be priced in ?
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Trader#6AE6
Nov 11, 2025 8:47am
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Stock market didn’t move to this whatsoever not moving rate cut bets whatsoever. Most likely a blip IMO.
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Trader#FFED
Nov 11, 2025 11:52am
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Look at you crack whores. Wanting a fix and will take ADP numbers as a substitute. That's like sniffing gas.
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Trader#5061
Nov 11, 2025 8:01pm
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We want Melania nudes this weekend
Reply
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