Fed's Bostic sees little reason to cut rates further for now -- WSJ | Crypto Craft
Added at 8:03am
Added at 8:04am
Added at 8:06am
Added at 8:08am
Comment Options
NotAtrader
Sep 22, 2025 10:46am
Permalink
Quoting Trader#E7D7
Doesn’t matter, as has been the case every day since April, stocks are unstoppable. That’s all you need to know to make easy money.
Yes until they stop and the bubble cracks. That's all you need to ignore to lose your money.
Reply
Vancarbon
Sep 22, 2025 11:59am
Permalink
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} Yes until they stop and the bubble cracks. That's all you need to ignore to lose your money.
Yes , bubbles tend to take everyone by surprise and when they do burst it’s not a “ pop “

It’s a “ BANG “

Interested observer comment.
Reply
Schultz
Sep 22, 2025 8:17am
Permalink
I guess I could look it up, but I can't recall the last time that inflation was actually at 2% or less. It seems that 3% is the new 2%.

Depends a bit on what definition is used which can be confusing.

Should the labor market go into crisis what the Fed can do is questionable, anyway. I'm thinking about all the talk of AI. Fiscal may help by subsidising soup kitchens.
Reply
ntrpy
Sep 22, 2025 8:54am
Permalink
Quoting Schultz
I guess I could look it up, but I can't recall the last time that inflation was actually at 2% or less. It seems that 3% is the new 2%. Depends a bit on what definition is used which can be confusing. Should the labor market go into crisis what the Fed can do is questionable, anyway. I'm thinking about all the talk of AI. Fiscal may help by subsidising soup kitchens.
Make of this what you will.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 23 KB
Reply
ffghost
Sep 22, 2025 8:23am
Permalink
Quoting Schultz
I guess I could look it up, but I can't recall the last time that inflation was actually at 2% or less. It seems that 3% is the new 2%. Depends a bit on what definition is used which can be confusing.
Could certainly depend on your definition, but 2% was achieved more recently than you might think...2020 (and even if you discount COVID, the years preceding 2020 were below, or darn near 2%)
Reply
Steven1
Sep 22, 2025 2:25pm
Permalink
Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} Yes , bubbles tend to take everyone by surprise and when they do burst it’s not a “ pop “ It’s a “ BANG “ Interested observer comment.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bubble.PNG Size: 230 KB
Reply
Schultz
Sep 22, 2025 8:44am
Permalink
Quoting ffghost
{quote} Could certainly depend on your definition, but 2% was achieved more recently than you might think...2020 (and even if you discount COVID, the years preceding 2020 were below, or darn near 2%)
That's about right. I looked at FRED - (I'd like to overlay a chart of interest rates and the Feds QE to see what lag is going on - I'm guessing about 18 months, For another time.)

The Sticky Price Consumer Price Index (CPI) is calculated from a subset of goods and services included in the CPI that change price relatively infrequently. Because these goods and services change price relatively infrequently, they are thought to incorporate expectations about future inflation to a greater degree than prices that change on a more frequent basis. One possible explanation for sticky prices could be the costs firms incur when changing price.

and this is the chart as best as I can copy it -
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 29 KB
Reply
Schultz
Sep 22, 2025 9:14am
Permalink
Quoting ntrpy
{quote} Make of this what you will. {image}
Good, thanks. I wish these things had vertical grid lines and I'm not used to American dates.

At the first rate increase in Feb 22, inflation had been rising about a year and was 3.5%.

Rates peaked in Mar/Apr 23 (?). CPI peaked at 6.5% in Feb 23.

So, with about 20+ years of data it would be easy to find all the statistical lags using time series techniques.

Of course it has been done 100s of times by eager-beaver students and academics. I guess I could google, sigh. Yeah, I did a time series subject a hundred years ago. It was kinda fun.
Reply
spzd
Sep 22, 2025 3:02pm
Permalink
He's not a voting member. Matters not what he thinks.
Reply
FXWish
Sep 22, 2025 8:46am
Permalink
Wow
Reply
rocktrader86
Sep 22, 2025 8:56am
Permalink
Bostic's views are really irrelevant at this point, he is a Democrat
Reply
Trader#E7D7
Sep 22, 2025 9:48am
Permalink
Doesn’t matter, as has been the case every day since April, stocks are unstoppable. That’s all you need to know to make easy money.
Reply

  • Related Stories

Fed's Musalem: Important stablecoins remain payments instrument, not savings instrument
From @financialjuice | Sep 22, 2025
Fed's Musalem: It's important that stablecoins remain a payments instrument, not a savings instrument. ST LOUIS FED'S MUSALEM Q&A/BROOKINGS: AS GENIUS ACT SPECIFIES, IMPORTANT THAT STABLECOIN NOT BECOME SAVINGS INSTRUMENT BY PAYING INTEREST; WOULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR STABILITY #Musalem #FederalReserve # #stablecoin
RBA Gov Bullock: Need to be "very focused" on data in period ahead
From @financialjuice | Sep 21, 2025 | 4 comments
RBA's Governor Bullock: need to be "very focused" on data in period ahead RBA Governor Bullock: inflation risks on both sides RBA's Governor Bullock: Australian firms lack dynamism of overseas counterparts
RBA Gov Bullock: Close to full employment, slightly on tight side
From @PiQNewswire | Sep 21, 2025
RBA GOV BULLOCK: JOBS DATA ARE VOLATILE, EMPLOYMENT GROWTH HAS SLOWED BY UNEMPLOYMENT STEADY JOBS MARKET IN LINE WITH OUR FORECASTS CLOSE TO FULL EMPLOYMENT, SLIGHTLY ON TIGHT SIDE RBA GOV BULLOCK: MORE CONFIDENT THAT INLFATION WILL STAY IN BAND RBA Governor Bullock: recent chinese economic data have not been great
  • Story Stats