Trump: Powell probably won't lower rates today

Although swings in net exports continue to affect the data, recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. The unemployment rate remains low, and labor market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated. The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate. In support of its goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage‑backed securities. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective. In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectati FOMC STATEMENT COMPARE: pic.twitter.com/3wayLXzIBa FOMC: VOTED 9-2 FOR FED FUNDS RATE ACTION Fed Governors Waller and Bowman dissented, preferring to lower the funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point. THE FEDERAL RESERVE KEPT ITS BENCHMARK INTEREST RATE STEADY AT 4.25–4.50%, NOTING ELEVATED ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY, SLOWING GROWTH IN H1 2025, AND PERSISTENT INFLATION. || DESPITE A STRONG LABOR MARKET AND LOW UNEMPLOYMENT, FED GOVERNORS WALLER AND BOWMAN DISSENTED, FAVORING A 25BPS…

*POWELL: MODESTLY RESTRICTIVE POLICY SEEMS APPROPRIATE POWELL: WE HAVE MADE NO DECISIONS ABOUT SEPTEMBER Fed's Powell: Uncertainty more or less even since last meeting. POWELL: MANY UNCERTAINTIES LEFT TO RESOLVE POWELL: FEELS LIKE THERE'S MUCH MORE TO COME Fed's Powell: Many labor measures similar to a year ago.

Fed's Powell: Inflation is most of the way back to 2% and there's catch-up inflation reflecting past pressures. Fed's Powell: Services inflation coming down nicely, goods going up. Fed's Powell: We can't separate out the tariff effects on inflation. Powell: Tariff costs will be shared between consumers and retailers. Fed's Powell: What we see now is the very beginnings of tariff inflation.