I look for value wherever it can be found
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Disliked4/02/2018 --- The previous week was a volatile one. With global stocks largely down and bond yields up. One of the index which I use mostly to assess global risk sentiment is the VIX - which has been below 15 for quite a while. Recently, VIX reached 17, implying that sentiment is starting to turn risk adverse. Energy and precious metals commodities are also all down last week. Interestingly, USD performed relatively well last week. Being the best gainer amongst the G10 currencies. My question is then, if stocks, bonds, commodities are all going...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Synicz, Thanks for your commentary on the developments... "My question is then, if stocks, bonds, commodities are all going down, where is all the money going? Surely it has to go somewhere. Probably the clue could be the current expectation of rising interest rates and rolling back of quantitative easing..." Could you please elaborate more on the above? Which asset class would it be specifically going to and why? ThanksIgnored
Disliked{quote} As you are aware. Fed is planning to raise interest rates and roll back on their QE measures. While EcB has already started rolling back on QE. General consensus is that the current markets are being artificially supported by the low interest rates and excess money. By rolling back on QE and raising interest rates, the government is reducing the amount of cash floating around the world. Thus, people (consumers and investors) will have lesser money to consume and/or invest. To translate that to the markets, we might see a decline in stocks,...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Thank you so much for the in depth analysis Synicz... One newbie question: You mentioned "To make things worse, interest rates are still not far off from all time lows, thus limiting the options of central banks." If interest rates are close to all time lows, doesn't that mean there is room for them to go higher which would in turn be an option that the Central Bank can use? How would low interest rates be an impediment to the Central banks? Thanks once again...Ignored