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merlin replied Jan 24, 2006very nice! thank you sir. i just made a neat indicator that shows the probability live on the fed funds futures chart...
Piponomics: Studying the Love Child of Forex and Macroeconomics
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merlin replied Jan 22, 2006scott this is a really insightful post. i never thought of it like that... are the pros slacking because they have a lush life? while its an interesting hypothesis, id have to say no. i think 30-60% is the max reasonable returns you can achieve in ...
Why professionals "only" make ~30% anually
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merlin replied Jan 19, 2006hi Ricky, thanks for the feedback. as for your first question, there is not one spot that you can find the economic data and speeches. you have to know your way around the web. thats why managing an economic calendar is such a challenging feat. ...
Calendar as Fundamental Source at Forex Factory
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merlin replied Jan 19, 2006LOL only took me 60 seconds to get the joke

Vegas Wealth Builder - Part I
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merlin replied Jan 19, 2006hey vegas, ive havent used you methods (yet) but i hear high praise of you from many sources. just wanted to welcome you to the forum man!

Vegas Wealth Builder - Part I
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merlin replied Jan 18, 2006well, if your Bruce Kovner, you make about 300mil a year. if your a pro at goldman, your probably taking in around 10mil. if your a CTA, your probably making few mil per year. pretty much everyone else is paying these guys salaries
these are ...What do you think Professional Forex traders Make?
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merlin replied Jan 18, 2006why cant you just buy the USDJPY and buy yen futures to offset? futures dont have rollover, so isnt this "the perfect hedge"?
Warning to Carry Traders (Perfect Hedge)
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merlin replied Jan 17, 2006killer graph man. do you know how they calculate the imp probability? i know it's based on the fed fund futures price, but i always wondered what the calculation was...
Piponomics: Studying the Love Child of Forex and Macroeconomics
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merlin replied Jan 17, 2006hey vegas you can attach it to your post if needed...
New file from Vegas is finished
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merlin replied Jan 15, 2006ive never experienced a platform outage. however, i dont have the platform open all the time like i do with TS. i use IB as my speculative account and only open the platform when i need to make a trade (maybe four times a week at most). i basically ...
Interactive Brokers - experiences and opinions
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merlin replied Jan 14, 2006this was the original appeal for me as well. but once i got to trading with them, i realized there are a million more reasons they are the best broker.
Interactive Brokers - experiences and opinions
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merlin replied Jan 14, 2006margin requirements are exactly the same for both of them (on options). are you looking to sell options narafa? if you are only buying, there is no margin needed. as for the cancelling of orders, that is an exchange thing, not an IB thing. you will ...
Interactive Brokers - experiences and opinions
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merlin replied Jan 14, 2006yeah, i will make a new matrix soon. thanks for reminding me. btw, a test of whether i "know" bernanke or not will be his first rate decision. if he puts rates on hold as i believe he will, that will be a good indicator that his book has prophetic ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Jan 14, 2006i dont trade forex with IB (yet), but i can tell you for futures and stocks they are A+++++++. i dont see why forex would be any different. their platform is kind of dated, but it does the job. their commissions are the best in the industry.
Interactive Brokers - experiences and opinions
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merlin replied Jan 14, 2006hes back! the MAN is back!
was getting a little worried about you 777. glad to see you were just in the lair cooking up systems. happens to the best of us
I am back with new ideas :)
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merlin replied Jan 13, 2006ive heard this line before. and i dont believe it for one second. bernanke isnt the kind of guy that wants to "prove" something. he doesnt want people to think of him as a dove or a hawk. he is neutral, and i think he will prove that by not doing ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Jan 13, 2006what makes you think i disagree with the "inflation targeter" title? he is an inflation targeter, for sure. as for my differing opinions with the banks, im not surprised by that. im not usually impressed with big research teams, thats why i go out ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Jan 13, 2006i just typed up my notes on the book: bernanke believes the central bank… ...has limited powers and can not steer inflation precisely. ...should have a single objective, as multiple objectives can conflict. ...needs to disinflate before it can start ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Jan 12, 2006what do you mean? you have the data, its very easily accessible. if you need some to practice with, let me know.
my first trading plan (very primitive)
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merlin replied Jan 12, 2006sounds good in theory, but a system with such low per trade expectations would surely be disfigured by commission and the spread.
my first trading plan (very primitive)