not always. in a fast market no orders get filled, yet price is shooting up or down tremendously cause of the liquidity vacuum created by the news events, i.e. everybody wants to be a buyer and nobody wants to be a seller at that price. Price will ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

Markets are not efficient. Best example for this are bubbles and the burst of bubbles. Markets overshoot in both directions in the short to medium-term. This shows that markets are not efficient (at least in the short to medium-term). Thus making ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

yeah something along the lines of the study. Well, if you bring that argument with not all participants will ever place the same order the same way,... then any analysis of price should be futile. Then we can give up right here right now, cause ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

I think trying to approach the markets from a fundamental side is incredibly hard. I don't even know one economist who could accurately predict markets more than 50% of the time. In the world economy you have billions of participants that all weigh ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

pfff, 2% a day? I know I had this discussion a lot of times a while back. But this will be incredibly hard to hold up. If you look at the track records of now really rich people, then you can see that 20% to 30% CAGR is what can be done on a ...

Wise to discuss strategy with my broker?

it's so easy to analyse this, I sometimes wonder why such questions even get posted. Get yourself a metatrader. Go to history center and export the data into an excel format. Then analyze the data using excel. you can tell excel to make a marker for ...

Stats on market open prices?

you should do a monte carlo analysis on that. "market system analyzer" is a software that can accomplish that and tell you the trade size you should take.

Trade Size Optimisation

I thought we are just trading "opinions about what reality currently is". Bubbles happen for a reason, cause the markets are either too euphoric or too pessimistic, only very rarely does the market reflect "real world reality" as you call it.

Trend Trading All Pairs

thanks for the video. That makes sense now with the electric fields.

The Illusion of Motion

I am still not totally convinced. Even if we would shrink to see the atomic structure, solid states always have locked in place atoms, while in for example a liquid state the atomic structure is floating. And radiation or other forms of energy only ...

The Illusion of Motion

yes, I understand all this. But you must understand, I am more a practical guy. If I hit my fist against a wall and break my bones, then I hit something solid no matter how it looks like on a molecular level. If I hit a microwave beam and my bones ...

The Illusion of Motion

Quantum entanglement is the solution. It's already getting researched.

The Illusion of Motion

then please jump off a building and tell me if you hit a solid ground and broke all your bones or fell through it due to all the space between the atoms.

The Illusion of Motion

while it's good that you made a profit, I would not consider the setup an A+. The recent news of the ESM being okay under german consitution and the QE3 by the US is nothing but a temporary measure. Did the situation change? Did they attack the ...

Trend Trading All Pairs

Question is would it make any difference on the overall growth rate? Assumptions: we have 10 Mio. $. Our growth rate from 10k to 10 Mio. $ has been 100% a year. Scenario 1: we take out 9 Mio. $ and invest it in a bond giving out 4% a year, 1 Mio $ ...

Thoughts on Diversification?

Totally agreed. I am also a very big fan of diversification. I diversify across instrument, strategies and time horizons. But of course you must be sure that each strategy is profitable. Diversifying bad strategies will still make the whole ...

Thoughts on Diversification?

not sure if the catching up is true anymore for gbp/usd and eur/usd. There used to be a correlation, but if you look at your daily chart, since beginning 2011 eur/usd made a dive while gbp/usd just remained in a range. Well, obviously they both ...

Pairs of Currency Pairs

To add a bit to this fundamental analysis discussion, here is a good thread about how another person used it to spot good opportunities: url cheers

Trend Trading All Pairs

haha, why should I be ashamed of myself? you are making a fool out of yourself, dude. Where did I predict anything? Yeah man, you are awesome. But my question is then why you write such a negative post at first and then you are writing how awesome ...

Trend Trading All Pairs

Funny first you say that the market is rigged and that you can't make head and tails of it all. And now you claim 90% accuracy and being profitable. A little schizophrenic.

Trend Trading All Pairs