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tdion replied Jan 27, 2008P & F for stocks... definitely. P & F for forex.... er, it isn't a traditional "market".... it is governments competing in a global economy.... so many news releases creating randomness.... I think it will fail.
Trading with Point and Figure
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tdion replied Jan 27, 2008Ahhhh very interesting.... I guess I should have primed you that I've been investigating NNs pretty thoroughly lately.... And the linuxtroll rainbow was my first thought.... in fact, I used 100 MAs to train a NN, but then I realized something.... ...
Quant trading & QuantLib
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tdion replied Jan 27, 2008What inputs do you intend to use? Strictly price?
Quant trading & QuantLib
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tdion replied Jan 27, 2008I've said it for months.... I think 1.50 is the ceiling.... based on PPP parity. Seems like the old USD is bumping its head on it..... the outlook not being good, hopefully we won't see the first nontrending year ever in '08. -sigh-
EURUSD
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tdion replied Jan 27, 2008I am somewhat interested in systems with no predictive quality, and are designed for astronomically unlikely scenarios. Let me explain. Suppose we analyse 20 years of D1 data for any pair. We will see repeating patterns, and we realize there are ...
What is a reliable and sound system?
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tdion replied Jan 27, 2008My initial thoughts are to call and ask them several questions: 1) Are you registered with the NFA? 2) How long have you been in business? 3) Is it a floating spread, or an actual Non Dealing Desk? 4) Minimum account size? The list goes on......... ...
Why floating spread is better then fixed
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008Is the sky blue? Is grass green? buddy: not much of a sample size there.... let's see it over 5 years.....
Is Martingale really dangerous?
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008What is the risk each month? A 50% drawdown possible? How about 80%?
Nocturnal Fund Performance Thread
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008Dopey, you stole my line! That's what I wanted to say.... I've been posting the same mentality on this forum, but they said I was a cynic. I'm glad a few folks are seeing things the same way.
My thoughts
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008A public group or a private one?
Bujal38 Trading Journal -400 to 2000pips monthly
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tdion replied Jan 26, 200810pt3 work never survived over here (and I'm glad) ... An illadvised stategy that a few folks refuse to put to rest over at TSD.
Martingale EA - Alternative to FXTradepro
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008Well, seeing EURUSD to 2.00 on your avatar lost all credibility with me. I don't think we'll touch over 1.50.... Any additional information would be obliged. I think flashing level 2 data every minute to the NN, combined with price and COT, might ...
The "Better" neural network
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tdion replied Jan 26, 20087,000 is the highest I've seen. Of course my eyes can't witness all systems in God's creation, but 7,000 is VERY high. Aggregation doesn't help because you risk all systems losing at once. Trading 8 systems on 8 pairs is as risky as trading 1 system ...
9000 pips a year after spreads
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008It is doable, but I've never seen anyone do it with a live account ever. In fact, I've seen several systems backtest for +7000 pips one year, and -8000 pips others. Aggregation, as you say, really doesn't do much for you. Luck is luck. Show ...
9000 pips a year after spreads
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tdion replied Jan 26, 20081) You need volatility to capture movement. 2) You need to time movements right. 3) You need to be on the right side of the trade. 4) You need to beat spreads and rollover premiums. A tall order to say the least, as random as forex markets are.
9000 pips a year after spreads
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008A systematic approach to a pair (or several pairs) will vary from year to year. Every market is different than the previous year's market, so attempting to "predict" the pip gains in advance is futile. In short, 9,000 pips is attainable with luck, ...
9000 pips a year after spreads
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tdion replied Jan 26, 2008Is it too much to ask what pairs, timeframes, and settings you use for the EAs? Oh, and broker too....

Bujal38 Trading Journal -400 to 2000pips monthly