sorry for the late reply..... news services, I don't think are very useful I mean is not like they will tell you some secret that other analyst are not privy to. However being informed in order to make better decisions is always good. I use Twitter, ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

interesting thread you've got going on , I'll swing by later on to give you my input if such action is welcome, of course.

Trading as I know it...

what kind of neuron are you ?---NEURON

EurAnalysis

trading like many other endevours in life has an otpimum strategy and not so good strategies. but like everything in this universe you have to ask the rigth questions and have the open mindedness to ACCEPT the answers even if you do not like them. ...

What was it like when you started? Don't know what's gone wrong!!

here .... you might want to study then the historical closing prices for the JPY and the Euro file file although I am afraid the technicals and the correlation reversion that you want to carve an edge out of might not help you as much as you ...

EURUSD

I don't understand you follow up comment. but I think you are saying that why do pairs move in relation to each other? USD is the reserve currency of the world, everything is measured in relation to US Dollars. In fx there are the Majors, the ...

EURUSD

Index is combined value of a basket according to the % of each asset class that composes the basket....so an Index value is a result of the assets measured thus It cannot drive the value of the assets. for your second question........correlation can ...

EURUSD

you are joking I take it? I don't want to think that you are suggesting that Fibonacci numbers are relevant in trading?

EURUSD

I am eyeing the 1.34 level as well to see if a short could be implemented there......in march, april, may of 2012 the euro reached as high as 1.3463 before turning south towards 1.22. this is purely from a technical perspective...... however I have ...

EURUSD

sure....I always thought of correlation coefficients of returns as in a linear model.......so what you are talking about is the magnitude and standard deviations in the said currencies using the chart to estimate it correct? are you accounting for ...

EURUSD

now you got risk of death by a 1000 stops. 9 pip stop increases volatility risk....10 stop out's in a row for you is 70 to 90 pips....so you need a big win to make out for this, hope this works for you. I think the key is finding the balance between ...

How to rescue a losing position?

It's Q 4 earning reports in the S&P perhaps that was causing some re-balancing of positions and investment outflows from USD, we still have debt ceiling debacle and the trillion dollar coin ......I tend to agree that the fundamentals should be ...

EURUSD

what do you mean by correlation? the correlation coefficient of the eur/usd and usd/chf for the past 500 trading days is -.75 for the past 21 trading days is -.97 (using arithmetic returns, Oanda prices) the correlation coefficent of eur/usd and ...

EURUSD

this is true...but again it goes against some principles discussed here by hanover and myself mathematical consistency and positive expectancy. you need to act like a casino and on the long run come up net positive. by having less than a rigorous ...

How to rescue a losing position?

It's half truth and it doesn't only work with New York....Generally around the open and closes of the major trading centers increase volatility and possibly new information is priced in the Markets. you could use this to your advantage but the edge ...

Closing London trades before NY session gets going

this is a good forum to start off i mean most things that people talk about here are worth research when one is new indicators, systems, technical analysis then you begin to realize that this is just the beginning and becomes entertainment or ...

Only 1 good thing

I do not see any decisive selling pressure here..... that makes me bullish biased

EURUSD

to add to my last post...if you are trying to position yourself for a swing trade and you think that more likely than not the euro will correct to range towards 1.28, a good price to short first position would be in the 1.32's from the area of ...

EURUSD

hey Math B.... has really good point. in forecasting random variables the best forecasting model to use is the "naive" model, what that entails is that we expect the same as the last period. (this is the basic model to use). three days ago we had a ...

EURUSD

I would be curious to know Pip Trappers take on earnings report and if that will have an impact on the risk environment on the euro as it seem to have a risk off on equities earlier on today. I am thinking that if the euro is in fact bearish today ...

EurAnalysis