Igrok, no offense, but this whole thread makes no sense. A fund manager posting on forex factory about the impending end of civilization with 82% certainty? This is lunacy. I’ll keep my posts that are related to the rational world elsewhere.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

I am not attempting to pick tops or bottoms (in the sense you are discussing I don’t think), just taking trades. Breakouts often fail, but a failure of a failed breakout is a breakout pullback. I just keep taking trades. Trading long this year has ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Fair enough. I’m “trading” both directions, but “investing” long (since long time ago).

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Yes, you get out when price goes higher and then trade long. The lost was minuscule. The breakout from the 3 day range was a success, although breakouts typically fail. So get out, and look for long. Your entry from earlier has a bigger risk and was ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

here is a chart from yesterday depicting what I’m normally seeing. Heavy sell delta at lows (absorption), with buy delta beginning to occur once the movement commences in the long direction (i.e. not buy delta near the lows).

Discussions on Order Flow/Volume

Right, but it seems like if you also get strong buy delta as price then moves off the low, it would be the clearest indication of price’s next movement. Passive buyers initially absorbing aggressive selling, but aggressive sellers run out (exhaust) ...

Discussions on Order Flow/Volume

DP, I’m quoting this post as it contains a chart I’d like some clarity on, purely technical related to how the bars are constructed. I assume the blue horizontal bars are BUY DELTA, red is SELL DELTA. I’m not sure why there are different shades of ...

Discussions on Order Flow/Volume

Well i guess the end of the stock market will come some time later.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

short spy 320.52. $0.20 stop.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Buy climax finally?

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Thank you for the reply. I too am discretionary in my entries and exits, but have "situations" that occur, currently based solely on price movement, that result in a direction bias, and then I rely on candles to enter. Today I attempted to combine ...

Discussions on Order Flow/Volume

DP, I guess in my initial evaluation of these concepts, the idea that makes the most sense to me is the idea of absorption, i.e. large buy delta at tops of candles where price then falls afterward or large sell delta at bottom of candles where price ...

Discussions on Order Flow/Volume

Some follow-up SIM trades in NQ. Feedback/thoughts from HG would great -

Intraday Trading the US Index Futures

So today was a bit mixed. Lots of notes on the NQ charts below where I have been trying to incorporate some order flow analysis. I like the histogram charts the best as I feel a bit overwhelmed with all the numbers on the other type of chart. I ...

Intraday Trading the US Index Futures

Yes you are correct, anything is possible.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

LOL.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

ETH high is a little above the RTH high so if you want to short, stop might be better placed just above that. I'm long at 99.25, but targeting those highs with tight stop.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Sure, these are from Friday on the ES. First example (ignore the horizontal lines on the chart, those are setup for today's session): This is not a great entry, but this a bull surprise bar breakout to new all-time highs in the ES. Given the size ...

Do you use stoploss?

I was responding to PeterE. I don't see a diamond in the Dow chart. If there is one, maybe someone could draw it. EDIT: Sorry, no I haven't heard of bifurcation theory until now. Can you explain how that applies to this discussion? EDIT 2: ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Consider this: Per my strategy, I should be able to fill 200 ES lots, and using a 4 point stop, I would have to have a $4.0M account to trade this size utilizing a 1% risk per trade. Margin on this size position would be $100,000; triple it to ...

5% risk per trade?