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tdion replied Apr 9, 2008I think a martingale hedge is the only "proven" system, and it requires an infinite bankroll. In fact, I believe all systems fail due to the chaos of markets. Its time to bite the bullet and realize that all your winning trades were lucky, and your ...
How do you determine when a strategy is valid and profitable?
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tdion replied Apr 6, 2008Well this is one of the few inefficiencies in forex. Furthermore, you can pool together 40 brokers if you had the guts to open account with all of them. Imagine the permutations available with 40 crossing ALL PAIRS! It'd be hundreds of millions at ...
My idea for broker arbitrage
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tdion replied Apr 6, 2008I agree with Craig. With only 20 pip intervals, you can repeatedly get hurt as the price ranges within the grid. OVER AND OVER without mercy. 7% down here.... 7% down there. So can it work? Of course.... you can get huge trends and do well. Can you ...
The grid hedge - the core version
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tdion replied Apr 6, 2008No No No I meant it as a jest, but then after I read it I saw it could be taken the wrong way. Of course your input is always welcome.... You're insight is keen. EDIT) I removed it immediately, but you spotted it quick. Caveat Empatur.
My idea for broker arbitrage
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tdion replied Apr 6, 2008What do you guys think? — How would you exploit an arbitrage between brokers? What's the buy/sell sequence? Is there any meat on this bone?
My idea for broker arbitrage
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tdion replied Apr 1, 2008The idea was good old buy low, sell high. Bear Stearns hasn't pushed USD any lower. That was bad, but because price stayed level we might be at the bottom. Again, a great depression like the 20s could be around the corner. USD can fall further, but ...
Silly Trader... When will you learn that fundamentals are the only way to trade?
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tdion replied Apr 1, 2008I hadn't thought of that. EDIT) That can play into your advantage if you trade into a direction that increases your $/pip value.
Silly Trader... When will you learn that fundamentals are the only way to trade?
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tdion replied Mar 31, 200830 year time scale? No. Election in 8 months. Withdrawal from Iraq (or victory) will boost sentiment too. Look how all USD pairs reacted to Bear Stearns collapse. Not much changed, because IMHO the pairs are about as devalued as they can be. The ...
Silly Trader... When will you learn that fundamentals are the only way to trade?
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tdion replied Mar 30, 2008Not 10 years.... more like the next year or two, with an expected 100% return. There is a lower limit to how far the USD can fall. Could we see the USDCHF at 0.50? I don't think it is possible unless there are more terrorist attacks on US soil. So a ...
Silly Trader... When will you learn that fundamentals are the only way to trade?
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tdion replied Mar 20, 2008Sure you'll find patterns. And you'll find patterns in random data sets too.
Short Term Trading is Quantum Physics
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tdion replied Mar 18, 2008Interest point, smjones. With near neutral swap, a long right now with a 2500 pip stopout might be a great long term play. The long would give a tiny carry payment each day to boot. Perhaps the cash in would be around 1.25. I could see averaging ...
How low can it go?
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tdion replied Mar 18, 2008It's similar to a Martingale hedge. A sideways market would get ugly.... not to mention rollover swap.... It would get ugly because you will have a lot of open positions, a lot of drawing down as the price traverses the channel, opening more lots as ...
I have a great system that I want an EA coded for
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tdion replied Mar 17, 2008These are amazing results if true. Hope things don't go cold for you.
Robot trading
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tdion replied Mar 16, 2008This place sure quieted down after all that hot air. Looks like I'm one of the last people standing.... just by observing. Amazing how the buzz goes quiet after a few weeks.
High & Low 8 Hours (GBP/JPY)
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tdion replied Mar 16, 2008Rate cut over the weekend.... how efficient will this market be??? Instantaneous reaction? Spread over the next weeks? BTW: Parity doesn't mean 1:1.... it means buying power of both countries is equal.... could be 1:1, but not very likely. ...
How low can it go?
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tdion replied Feb 24, 2008The reason 95% of traders lose money: They trade TA.
The reason why 95% of new traders consistantly lose money
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tdion replied Feb 24, 2008I second that. Indicator based systems do not have any predictive quality. I suppose Dopey would argue that trading with pitchforks is good. I have yet to see any real advantage to stochs, macd, etc. Lucky runs happen occassionally, but you are ...
BB on Steroids
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tdion replied Feb 23, 2008There are backtests in this thread. All you have to do is look.
High & Low 8 Hours (GBP/JPY)