Remember our AUD/NZD trade? The last 'thread trade' I closed to switch focus to also try proving just counter retail. Attached shows how the AUD/NZD pair continued. The yellow line marks entry and exit. Notice how extreme the price jump was compared ...

Tug of war in market flows

Jul 12 14:30 - USD PPI EUR/USD following each other mostly but with a bit of volume control. Notice how especially at news event price drops while volume holds, making price search back up towards volume line. That concludes the analysis of high ...

Tug of war in market flows

Jul 11 14:30 - USD CPI 16:00 Powell testifies EUR/USD Volume was in control throughout the day. Notice how the price was pumped prior to news and then return first down to volume and then up again later and the next day.

Tug of war in market flows

Jul 11 12:00 - GBP Carney speak Retail was heavily short GBP/USD when the speech began as seen on attached: They got punished for that. Price control with the volume being behind.

Tug of war in market flows

Jul 10 16:30 CAD - Rate statement 17:15 - BOC press conference USD/CAD reacted as attached. Volume and price followed each other mostly, but with volume in a bit of control.

Tug of war in market flows

Jul 10 14:30 USD - Powell testifies 20:00 - FOMC EUR/USD reacted as attached: Powel comment caused price to jump on announcement. Volume stayed cool and tried holding price down, had to capitulate as price won the tugwar. FOMC didn't create that ...

Tug of war in market flows

Jul 10 10:30 GBP - GDP and Manufacturing Production The first graph shows GBP/USD on the day, second shows graph starting from news release. On the day it's pretty mixed with the retail as losers as usual. This becomes more clear on the second graph ...

Tug of war in market flows

Analysis of the biggest fundamental events last week: First off: Jul 9 14:45 Powell speak The graph shows EUR/USD price (red) volume (green) on the day and time of speak at the yellow line. Notice how herd mostly on the day tried to pull the price ...

Tug of war in market flows

Attached shows currencies from experiment start. The colors represent only our current trades, not previous. Also attached is a diagram of current holdings. We will be taking all open trades with us through the weekend and new week. Good weekend to ...

Tug of war in market flows

Gracias, Liarg Yes I will. And I will update here in thread step by step and if I change approach.

Tug of war in market flows

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Tug of war in market flows

Trading experiment that trades exactly opposite of retail volume been running for three days now and with satisfying results, let's hope it continues proving the theory. Stats: 36% profit 2259 pips 1.71 profit factor 887 trades

Tug of war in market flows

Thank you for your interest and messages! I will try to answer some frequently asked questions here: I'm sharing whatever I can without giving away my edge and risk other copying my source. Tug of war is volume and price compared and closer looking ...

Tug of war in market flows

Attach is the price development since start on Jul 9 10:15 and current demo holdings: (Despite calculation error) our counter retail 'experiment' so far stands at: 12.700 (started at 10.000) 795 trades 1485 pips Profit factor 1.41 I will continue ...

Tug of war in market flows

Demo just updated. It's looking promising and is up 15% with 757 pips profit and with a profit factor of 1.27.

Tug of war in market flows

So far so good on our demo:

Tug of war in market flows

The market started trading against last week retail volume. Illustrated in the current week graph, the greener the more it was sold last week and vice versa with red.

Tug of war in market flows

Heavy GBP/USD retail volume sell last week:

Trading against the herd

Back in profit:

Tug of war in market flows

This is the calculation I will use to update our demo with. It automatically calculates into what margin each pair in our demo should be. Then I will update it each hour or so in my awake time, adjust our counter retail volume with new positions. I ...

Tug of war in market flows