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- Swissie replied Sep 4, 2012
If Jordan and snb would think that they probably can't stand an HF-attack, they would have to let the cap go right now. Otherwise they have to be sure to sell 100'000'000'000'000 bio. of CHF... And i think they are... because CHF is overvalued... if ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Sep 4, 2012
Deflation has not yet disappeared... Still a lot of price adjustment to come regarding EURO and CHF-prices. Recession just starting? Deflation-spiral ahead? solution higher floor? I think there will soon be more uncertainty coming from the US, than ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 23, 2012
Let have a look on 7 month inflation: = -0.3, extrapolated for a year you then have - 0.5143 or 0.5143 % deflation And now on 5 month inflation: = -0.15, extrapolated for a year you then have -0.35 % or 0.35 % deflation I dont' want to calculate the ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 22, 2012
isn't it easier to peg CHF it at one currency? imagine it will be pegged against USD and EUR and suddenly the whole debt-problems of USA are coming on the table again.... Then they buy EUR and USD like fools... in the present situation they only ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 22, 2012
Hi Didi Dödel :-) EURO-Crisis-risk does not end at the Swiss-EURO-Zone-boarder... Switzerland is sitting in the same boat. Maybe Mister Draghi is spending his vacation in Switzerland, therefore he likes the peg. I don't think at all that the ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 22, 2012
2010 peg is quite a different story... I think you can forget about this... 1.50 was way too high to intervene. Looking back to it, it seems like it was sort of a joke then. But at 1.20 is a level, underneath swiss economy is hurt very much and in ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 21, 2012
There is no inflation yet. rather deflation. worst case stagflation. SNB goal is around 2 % inflation. Homeprices in some areas are a concern. But could be worse. Renting will become more expensive, when interests are rising. therefore we need ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 21, 2012
they are diversifying all the time... gbp, usd, aud, cad, dkk, etc.... and they sell EUR
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 16, 2012
thats right. but somewhen, the northern countries have to commit themselves to the EUR and the southern countries, because it seems that the situation of the southern countries are getting worse and worse. So if they want to keep on having a benefit ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 15, 2012
1. no, it will not collapse... maybe it's going to be restructured, but EUR is likely to remain. 2. Some probably will. for example cyprus 3. you're right, but also inflation in CH
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 14, 2012
lower ppi shows rather deflation pressure. PPI and CPI are both quite important, both are inflation-linked-figures. And thats the underlying for a floor rise (no inflation, or even worse deflation) or an end of the peg (when inflation finally ...
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 9, 2012
about 8 % less margin on sales into EUR-Land... in the long run it is a catastrophy
EUR/CHF
- Swissie replied Aug 9, 2012
Swiss enterprises are still quite challenged with 1.20 and a lot of companies are shifting their costs out of switzerland, because a 1.20 floor still is too strong for them to cover costs. So 1.10 seems to be just impossible for many companies, as ...
EUR/CHF