The first time I came to FF, I concluded that the entire site was a scam, preying on the ignorant. I didn't visit for a long while, more than a year, but was bored one day and saw this thread... I am happy to say that there are many smart people ...

The similarity system

Yes, someone please spell it out before speculation takes over... Scam, to me, implies fraud and mal-intent.

The similarity system

Thanks for the fish EURUSDD - net +320 on the period using the method I shared.

The similarity system

And currently, price has spent "enough" time in the upper half of the probabilities...

The similarity system

Did fine even with the rare occurrence yesterday. A typical day will be bliss! For those watching, I just moved my Bias line to 1.2450 for the remainder of EURUSDD's call. Not sure if anyone cares so I won't update if other changes are made. Point ...

The similarity system

These calls are gold. Another "high frequency" setup today for me. Bias for either direction begins at 1.2470, and frequency increases linearly with any move away from 1.2470, with 2X frequency being reached at 1.2490 for shorts and 1.2440 for ...

The similarity system

Just kick Peter out and keep the calls coming. Most of us are learning, creating and sharing.

The similarity system

My 3rd iteration of trades on EURUSDD's call just came into profit. Ran some "retail high-freq" LOL - the brokers get mad when message counts get too high and their servers begin to puff smoke, so I have to be careful... My SL was at 1.2390, and I ...

The similarity system

M1 Update: Just took profit on EU, UChf, and currently in AU based on the rules shared yesterday. Trading 18 pairs and there were many other trades overnight. Small losers, and then big winners like this. Overall, profitable day. Working on money ...

The similarity system

Thanks Dice - fair value? autocorrelation? I'm trying not to deviate from my M1 TZ quest, but would like to explore your micro definition of efficiency and efficient return...

The similarity system

Edit - Lite answered.

The similarity system

Here's a good example of what I'm testing now. Most trades are losers, but small losers, and then you have big winners like this. The power is in the multi-entries. Most trades, while losers, will have gone into profit by an avg of 6 pts. In this ...

The similarity system

I feel your pain - everything changes... The question is whether to try to change with it or develop a more rigid framework that has a positive expected return. My main program is based on doing the exact opposite of what we are trying to do here - ...

The similarity system

I haven't found the probabilities to hold when looking at scenarios with tradable ranges. The probabilities look great because the non-tradable bars are treated as wins in the stats. Larger tf's look better because the avg occurrence of a setup ...

The similarity system

M1 Update: All of the TZ strategies I have tested seem to have the same problem - W:L is good or great, but R:R is bad or terrible. Increasing R:R kills W:L. So, why not try to use this to our advantage. If small wins can't keep us ahead of the ...

The similarity system

Started looking at SS. Stuck at the D1 example EURUSDD gave. I see in that example, the 3 candles 10/26,10/27,10/28: O: 1<2<3 H: 1<2<3 L: 1>2<3 - this is the only sequence that hasn't already satisfied C: 1<2<3 OHLC: 1<2<3 L: 1>2<3 - if candle 4 ...

The similarity system

M1 results for above on EU h-30: Not filtering for mid-zones, the strategy is breakeven with one entry and an SL of 40 pts. Using an offset entry (X points better than the indicated entry), the average results are: Offset -7, +22 pts/wk; Offset -15, ...

The similarity system

I tried this with DS/Sim, aka the river of price, but since the targets' probability has time decay, it only really worked in ranging markets. How would you predict that price would move to a level that hadn't been seen for a very long time?

The similarity system

Some more M1 data: 1. Assuming any PTZ that is older than 50% of your h (chosen for 3%) will become a TZ, and trading away from this "TZ", with a TP of a PTZ in the opposite direction, and an SL at the assumed TZ, yielded approx. 61% W:L, with less ...

The similarity system

My bread and butter is a high frequency EA so I am comfy on tick charts. However, all of this Sim and TZ testing I am doing is with a retail broker, so I am looking at much larger spreads - avg 0.65 pts for EU with the pricing I have. I am also ...

The similarity system