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- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
And the Germans know this way will cost them less, but they want to do it in a 10 years time frame, and this is a joke. The EURO would have already disappeared by then. All the German politicians are tide up by its voters. Mass people are normally ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
1.40 unlikely in the next 12 months. "When?"-->You have to ask Merkel and Monti, politics are driving the situation, therefore hard to forcast the timming, Merkel and the other big three are in bloody dog fight now, but the trend lead to a ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
"Swiss 5yr gov't yield is back above zero. The 2-4 end of the yield curve is still negative" Tension off a bit on the floor, but expect to come back after EU summit
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
Central bankers change their words and policies all the time, you watch how Jordan will change again in the next few months.
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
55% of Germans want their old currency back, and the voters control all the party leaders. Iam more and more certain Germany wont give in. Therefor EURO break up imminent, just matter of when.
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
"Peg-break...we are miles away from"--->I think it is hard to say as politics decide everything now, not economic datas and trends where we can predict and forsee. In my own opinion, I agree to what George Soros' opinion--->, Join liability to keep ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
Situation getting more and more complex in EU, looks like Monti, Hollande, Rajoy is determined to push Merkel to accept EUROBOND in the second half of this year or they will choose to leave EU as this kind of yields will lead their country to ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
Italian PM Monti considering resignation if Germany does not agree to Euro-bonds - sources We have to watch out for this as this will mean EURO breakup--> peg breaks
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
"Berlusconi' wants to make a come-back, possibly favouring a EUR exit for Italy." If it happens in Italy's next year election, peg will break
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 26, 2012
Yah, me too, I am leaving a few long positions in this paire and try to forget about it. Because I know I will regret if anything happens. Everything so far points out further pressure on the floor in the second half of this year. Just look at how ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 25, 2012
SNB is now success in a way where both the longs and shorts gets really tired of trading this pair and just want to leave this pair alone. I think this was SNB's plan.
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 23, 2012
PIMCO's Gross recons they are going to kick a super big can down the road, looks like he is right, so, pressure on the floor will remain
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 23, 2012
Yes patience, brinks But iam just trying to figure out other scenarios if SNB is afraid of introducing capital controls, and if EU gets their act together...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 23, 2012
Guys, What do you think will happen if the inflow into CHF stops and outflow begins? Obviously SNB has to unload, but do you think SNB will unload near the floor or will it let it drift higher befor it starts to unload to make some profits?
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 23, 2012
Chicago VIX index is now below 19, I wonder how long would it take for the pressure on the floor to come off. Next currency reserve data important. Another possibility for the up trend move is for the European nations to solve their problems, even ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 22, 2012
I think highly likely its SNB's work, That was the week when the pressure on the floor was really building up. I think SNB pushed the level up to 1.2020~1.2030 level in the first stage to let some longs take profit and then comes the negative ...
EUR/CHF
- tim10167 replied Jun 22, 2012
With what Danthine said today and the market performance for the past two months, I think I can conclude a few things (please do correct me with other opinions): 1. SNB purposely controled the value of the floor at a tight range around 1.2010. ...
EUR/CHF