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tdion replied Jan 17, 2011Rhetoric... You may improve your chances of success with hard work, but ultimately the market decides every traders fate... so luck must take you across the finish line. Also, if you can accept that you will have losing years, and that money in your ...
Is it just a pipe dream?
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tdion replied Jan 3, 2011My brother — My brother tolerating my forex rants for years on end. Finally one day he said to me, "Is it worth a $hit?" My brother is an MBA (well, after 2 more classes.) I've gotta agree with him.... is my stuff worth a $hit? You tell me.... ...
Tdion's Corner
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tdion replied Jan 2, 2011They got destroyed because of people defaulting on their house loans, not their inability to trade spot forex. What's very interesting is your remark about one's own skill. I'd like to share my outlook, as I am a quant. The EA I wrote does well in ...
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Jan 1, 2011Hanover for President Very nice thread, H-Bone.
Twelve widely believed forex myths
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tdion replied Jan 1, 2011Wow... Garbage in, garbage out. A thread of "wouldn't it be neat to try these indicators and see if they turn out profitable..."
I will code your EAs and Indicators for no charge
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tdion replied Jan 1, 2011Wow grk, you make a perfectly sound and logical argument against trading, and then toss it out the window with sarcasm.... I don't know what to say. haha
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Dec 31, 2010Yes buddy, by no means did I mean to nit-pick what you were saying... I just have my own views of forex that I openly and abrasively share. Best wishes to you and your trades in 11 as well..... may you be on the winning half of the zero sum.
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Dec 31, 2010Here's how I see it: The market is controlled by a handful of central bankers. You'd have to have insider information to know the huge buys/selloffs before-hand. And even with insider information, you'd have to know the COLLECTIVE plays of all ...
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Dec 31, 2010Well, in poker, the odds can be quantified because there are a set number of cards in a deck.... and counting cards makes it easy to quickly calculate a probability in one's mind based on what's left in the deck. Unfortunately there is very little ...
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Dec 31, 2010Pound it through your skull... a "winning percentage" is a lie. The minute you set an expectancy in your mind, you are imposing yourself on the market to do what you expect it to do. This is a fallacy most folks make--- the market never conforms to ...
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Dec 31, 2010Truth of the matter is, no kelly criteria can be accurate because you are always taking a tiny sample of infinity. 100 trades.... so what? What happens if you measured the 30 consecutive losers first? Would you say the expectancy is 0? Even with a ...
How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?
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tdion replied Dec 27, 2010Half my trades are breakout in the direction of the daily trend, and half are retracements in the direction of the daily trend. I'm always looking at short term momentum... I could care less what happened 30 days ago.... I look at long term trends ...
EURUSD
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tdion replied Dec 27, 2010I changed my post because my trading rules forced me to get out of my long before I took this short breakout. Gotta have trends, or I'm toast. Unfortunately everything is mechanical and I don't plot the TA on the chart... I just know what is causing ...
EURUSD
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tdion replied Dec 27, 2010Daily Stop 1.3425, TP 1.3040 May get out early depending how it goes...
EURUSD
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tdion replied Dec 27, 2010Went short 2 days ago at the bottom. Am I the only one here currently in a swing short?
EURUSD