Was supposed to be in bed hours ago, but I just can't get over tonights action. Bad news coming out every sector of the market. US Treasuries are testing yields on Sept-Oct 2008 levels. The Greece/Bund spread has blown out again. Japanese Government ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Since nobody else seems to have noticed this fib (apologies if you did and I missed it), and my last forecast was for this wave down to the May lows I feel justified in drawing it. Hopefully this will be the beginning of a new wave count, although I ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

There is no direct dollar answer to the question "trading capital - how much is enough". You should work out a position limit based on your capital. Note, a position limit has nothing to do with how much capital you risk per trade. e.g. in most ...

Trading Capital - How much is enough?

All you need is 7SMMA shifted 3.

Which Moving Average do you prefer?

Re the above comments capital markets. Woke up to see these two posts: Mish on US Junk Bonds: url Calculated Risk on European Bond Spreads (the chart is a must see): url So I am definitely not the only one thinking this way.

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

When market liquidity had a basis I had no issue taking on leverage. Take a look at Eurodollar and Euribor. Hell, I was even watching Euroswiss and Euroyen (Tibor) recently. US Treasuries and bond yields are testing or gunning for all time lows or ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Hullo guys! Still sitting here with a bunch of August DAX puts that are looking less and less happy each week. Theta has already taken a few as low as they'll go. Haven't been willing to take on too much risk on top of those trades, so just been ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Lots of great posts overnight. Thanks for the thoughts and discussion guys, I almost always miss the US session so it is nice to see what people are thinking during those hours when I wake up for Tokyo. Seems everyone is quite happy to sell small ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Glad to have exited the GBPUSD position for BE rather than a loss which would have eventuated. EURUSD would be in the money now but I am disowning the euro I can't get a grip on it recently for some reason, willing to assume CB intervention in that ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Bears seem to have 0 momentum so I am exiting all this rubbish here at breakeven and going to find some chicken soup. Will look for a new setup later.

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Same setup, different pair, different day. Adding shorts for GBPUSD at 1.5595 with a hard stop above the current daily high. Hourly closes below 15560 would be nice for confirmation. image Euro shorts are somehow still in the game. DAX puts remain ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Intraday volatility for EU is spazzing out. DR1 stopped the price by just 4 pips short of my stoploss before retreating. Somehow I am +10 back in the money now!?

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

It's all the same, trust me. There is nothing special about "market profile" trading - in fact if you believe the market is a chaotic system then it is actually an incorrect method of trading as it uses parametric techniques to model a ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

China is one of the, if not the most sophisticated CB FX players in the world. In the last 12 months they have definitely increased their exposure to the major and even some minor currencies and you can bet it is at a price 10 pips ahead of whatever ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

USD bounced successfully off support. Who's game to sell dollars today?

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Seem to recall saying something yesterday about rediculous situation in the market not making it worthwhile to trade. I hate to think who just got carted out, 115 pips or 0.75% of total contract value or just under 80% of ATR14 in 2 minutes flat ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Great environ to make a bit from market beta (well, beta-ish against midcaps and the tech30) I very much doubt a market like this is going to make you regret an attitude like that I definitely value sleep over worrying about some of ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

ProRealTime does all the hard work for you these days...it automatically charts better technicals than I have ever managed to! Thin dotted red resistance line is very interesting possibly from an EW perspective as the 90% retrace of the April 26 -> ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Hi guys, I have figured out an interim solution to my problem of not trusting my broker. Having re-capitalised the account with a small amount of money, I am buying way out of the money options to capitalise on market volatility in an extremely low ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Are you reading my mind or something? London open level is being a pest, I took measly profits (after spot spreads, commission and converting my JPY to AUD!) there after it was obvious a bit of demand still lingering (hence invalidating my no-demand ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread