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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 21, 2018The same view, looking for a stronger pullback. More hikes are coming, while ECB will not hike at least in the next 15 months and there are no indications inflation is going to explode, while growth seems to reach its peak. Technically there is ...
EUR/USD Risks Larger Rebound on Dovish Fed Rate-Hike
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 21, 2018Bearish USD. Right, swap is terrible, I get almost 30pips for 1 month forward. Now, after hike, it might be even more. Sometimes I wonder how people are so extremely long E/U with such a swaps.
EUR/USD Risks Larger Rebound on Dovish Fed Rate-Hike
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 21, 2018There is a chance for a bearish surprise. Anyway 1.2410-20 should hold. Otherewise I expect W1 trend to be broken and move below 1.2140-60. PS The biggest mistake is to think that something happend each month for the last 13 months so it must happen ...
EUR/USD Risks Larger Rebound on Dovish Fed Rate-Hike
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 20, 2018I expect disappointment and FED staying with 3 rate hikes this year.
The Fed Is Signaling More Than 3 Interest Rate Hikes for 2018
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 19, 2018A the moment chances of 3 and 4 hikes are respectively ca. 75% and ca. 37%. 1. FED could easily slash expectations of 4 hikes. 2. As well easily make 3 hikes as a done deal and force market to gamble about four hikes. My base scenario would be no. 1
Fed preview: First of four
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 18, 2018Order flow on D1 is enormous. It is even showing up on W1 TF. Therefore next break up/down is going to be significant.
The Fed and More
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 18, 2018I do not think it is a done deal(USD STRENGHT), but there is good chance that a trend which has started in 2016 could reverse.
The Fed and More
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 18, 2018USD ended on a bullish tone. EURUSD on a verge of breaking W1 bullish trend which has started at the end of 2016. Most likely this week(latest next week) we will know whether the price will dip below 1.2160 and lower. There is a good chance. ...
The Fed and More
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 13, 2018What does it change? Another man to do the same work according to the same Trump.
Trump ousts Tillerson, will replace him as secretary of state with CIA chief Pompeo
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 11, 2018So for the moment, everyone gets exemption except China and the EU.
The European Union, wonderful countries who treat the U.S. very badly on trade, are...
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 8, 2018The end of tariffs topic.
Trump: Will cut down on China trade deficit one way or another
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 4, 2018Eurusd looks like running for a new high this week.
Italian election results live updates: Five Star Movement single largest party - exit poll
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 3, 2018You have to ask your local government.
In 2002, President Bush Imposed 30% Steel Tariffs; This Is What Happened Next
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 3, 2018Trump needs an advisor who will stop his madness.
Trump Threatens Europe: "We Will Apply A Retaliatory Tax On Their Cars"
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 2, 2018There won't be any tariffs. Too many people in Trump’s circle against it. No Democrat, few Republicans in favour. My bet is next week Trump will withdraw from his ideas.
In 2002, President Bush Imposed 30% Steel Tariffs; This Is What Happened Next
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 2, 2018Does it have to go through Congress?
We will soon be starting RECIPROCAL TAXES so that we will charge the same thing as they charge...
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 2, 2018Trump has little support. Most Republicans oppose steel tariffs. The story could reverse dramatically.
When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country...
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 1, 2018It looks very bad for the USD, and we got Friday still to go and two events favouring Euro on the weekend. On the other hand, the price reached W1 area, where below EurUsd may start a long bearish trend. So it is a natural reaction, may be temporary.
Dollar Reversing Early Gains
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 1, 2018The USD is weakening, market bets are the EU will win.
EU's Juncker: US Steel, Aluminium Restrictions Are ‘Blatant Intervention To Protect US...
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JakubSzalaFX commented Mar 1, 2018The market was doubting in 3 hikes; now we know it might be 4 hikes.
Fed's Dudley: 4 Hikes In 2018 Would Be 'Gradual' - Cannot Be Too 'Aggressive' With Hikes Due...