the market is not an entity nor a force, it is a place governed by supply and demand where goods and services are exchanged....... it will not become less efficient, entropy does not apply. In this case entire economies are being reflected and the ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

proximus....I am truly perplexed on why you are taking so much heat, I thank you for your efforts and contribution to this thread. I will test your data for randomness, then I will test and compare it to the market. Random coin flips when charted ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I am not sure this is directed at me or some one else...I am not directly adressed in your post however I have a feeling you are talking about me to predict is to forecast, to foretell, to extrapolate an outcome in various degrees of certainty. To ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

great, then i will run some statistical test on the returns and compare with real market data I'm going to need open,high,low,close values though so we can visually compare it and empirically compare the returns

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I apologize I had the traders confused, can you generate several random charts with positive drift and provide open,high,low, close data so i can run some tests on the returns and see if indeed they are a correct representation of the market?

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

can you generate several random charts with positive drift? and compare them to bullish market? perhaps if you can also write all your open high low close data I can compare it and run some tests on it to see if indeed it represents the market well.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I see a problem here where you guys have disregarded evidence that my self, pipme up and prixmus (sorry i might not have the name correct) have previously shown. you have all asserted that the market indeed is predictable and there are trends, have ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I would argue that the 1.20 euro floor on the CHF, and the BOJ QE in order to deliberately weaken the Yen, pokes holes on your assertion.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I believe that in order to even begin to find exploitable market deficiencies first we must start at this assumption of market predictability you can Assert anything you like, but the fact of the matter is that assertions hold no value, only ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

To my surprise this thread has gone to sh*t, but I took care of the problem. Seems that mikkk01 is disruptive and contributes nothing to the conversation. let's get back on track: Most agree that the market is mostly random, we have provided ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

some females don't wear any....well whatever

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

that still does not tell you what "reward" you are looking at for this particular trade. knowing the "reward" part of the equation means you know where the market will go, just because you would like the market to hit 100 pips, doesn't mean it will, ...

The Smoke and Mirrors of the Risk/Reward Ratio

number 3? perhaps, but let's see if nubcacke gets it right

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

how do you determine "reward"? I can see how we can determine risk but the reward part is unkowable unless you know with precision where the market is going.

The Smoke and Mirrors of the Risk/Reward Ratio

I disagree......do not just play around with settings until you trick your brain into believing that the market reacts to some arbitrary line. think of the reasons why Averages are used, and why this would be helpful for anyone attempting to make ...

Questions about Chart Periods

this is why I started this thread.....we all have assumptions, some of us very good assumptions some of us very bad. HOW do you know that dojis work? do you have a statistic study on it? what is the probability in % terms that a decline will be ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

i think most statistics are made on returns i can expand on this if you wish, and on the formula I didnt come up with it (I agree with this model of price simulation) * I can see how , seems like I'm Implying that I came up with the formula......I ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I will once I learn how to lol, then I will post it here. would that be a fair way to describe a Cauchy Distribution? url

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I have thought of a similar Idea, about the market before but I have no way or perharps lack the imagination or knowledge to actually test it to at least call it a hypothesis. My apriori is that the market has an underlying tendency created by the ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

the answer to you question is trivial yes it's possible, let's say there is a .000000001% probability of this event occurring .....there is 7000000000 people alive on earth then 7 will become billionairs from forex. you see, given enough sample size ...

Is it possible to become a billionaire trading Forex?