Minor correction: this is one type (end-of-bar or "fractal" TZs), those, when completed usually imply a movement's end. If they are not completed yet they represent a viable target - there is a high probability that the fractal will "repaint". So ...

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Hey yaed, I'd check for probability of consecutive losses and start with demo or small accounts (purely for psychological reasons). 75% probability gives a 1-in-a-million chance of wiping the account with 10 consecutive losses of 10% of account ...

Recent theoretical work and actual trades

No problem, all is clear. k

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Hey doublePip, thanks, I think many people would find this useful! This is an important reason for code-sharing, people can first verify the code, play with it and do what they want. Essentially, you don't start from scratch then. Also, if anbody ...

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Hi all, it will have it soon. k

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Ciao Franco, 1) is done in v3, as cfdtaleong mentioned. 2) what do you mean exactly by ETZ or UTZ? End-of-bar and mid-bar? k

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There is a worse thing regarding this trade than the pivot point, and that is that I have publicly endorsed it. There is nothing more certain, neither death nor taxes, than the unfavourable outcome of my pet trades. I should make a thread, with the ...

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Hi Barbaresco, I think it might be neat to calculate the probabilities of the (n+1)-st revisit in the next h_right time units, given n revisits have happened in the past (i.e. during the last h_left bars). The recurrent zones as we know them are but ...

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Hi, For the probabilities it is always good to check the pertinent timescale. For the downtrend in AUDJPY it is the D1 (or higher). The probability then turns out to be much higher than this. On the lower timeframe (H1) the pullback become a fractal ...

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Hi, I think Ryan's posts here offer a strong possibility for a fundamental trading strategy... Trading once the value exits the channel, the ultimative recurrence. Ryan420, cheers! k

Currencies affected by China's Economy

Hi gspajon, I have in the past learned a lot from your threads, which I have carefully studied. Subscribed to whatever you want to share. Sometimes simplest is the best, and often more complicated methods turn out to be trading pullbacks of a strong ...

Simple Uncomplicated (obvious) trading

I sent you some stuff by email, FF doesn't let me upload them here. The spread is currently 28-29 pips. k

Currencies affected by China's Economy

Hi LiteChild, I have FXCM account and can in principle trade yuan. Be careful as this is a highly controlled currency artificially kept below its value in order to make export (to the US in particular) more feasible. k

Currencies affected by China's Economy

You're correct, fractals are useful. On D1, EURUSD, after a 5-candle fractal pattern, the price has less than 30% probability to go beyond the fractal (above the top fractal or below the bottom fractal) within the following two weeks (=10 trading ...

Secret footprint in the markets

Hey yaed, here's one nice text for the forrest man. url Cheers, k

Recent theoretical work and actual trades

Hi limprobable, the arrows are by default white for the cleared/resolved (potentially transient zones that become recurrent) zones and red and DodgerBlue for the uncleared zones (confirmed transient for your parameters). The most important piece of ...

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Pure Zen!

Recent theoretical work and actual trades

Hi Occamz, listen to Vlady's advice and also consider this post. k

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This is an excellent post, thanks. While this is all true, one minor thing is that we are often interested in the probability that the left side is transient and the right side is recurrent (practical requirement: we trade with the expectation that ...

The similarity system