What is really strange (and scary) is that COT report seems to be saying that hedgers are hedging (as usual) but the liquidity seems to be from small speculators. Big speculators (hedge funds) haven't jumped in yet. This might be because of ...

EURUSD

On other kind of trend I would expect a bounce here, a confluence of 50% and 200 ema but not now. Interesting to see how this plays out.

EURUSD

Bloomberg has the statement url

EURUSD

Guess what, there actually is. Japan had one during their crisis url Also short term US treasury bills have a negative yield at this exact moment. url This has never happened for central bank rate though..

EURUSD

There is a HUGE concentration of Asks at 3770, something like 150-300 contracts per pip for 5 pips (on euro futures contract - a good indication of overall market). We might bounce here for a while (or even have a leg down). edit: managed to take s ...

EURUSD

yes that's what tic is: That means quite directly that non-us based instances see a very significant risk in US based assets.

EURUSD

WHOA!!! Look at those TIC numbers!! I didn't expect that poor numbers. edit: Basically that means that almost all those negative/zero yield treasuries are bought by instances that are from US, seems that people outside US don't feel that they are so ...

EURUSD

Here is an interesting chart. Does anyone else notice any familiar chart pattern there? http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=DXY%3AIND I personally don't understand why people are so anxious to short. We have: 1. Two consolidation ...

EURUSD

Of course I'm not sure. I'm not trying to guess things that you can't guess. At this point it's quite clear that two days have been total bull market. Also, dollar index looks awfully like it's going to break to downside: url To be honest, I'm a ...

EURUSD

Looks a little bit improvised to me.. You should draw it from peak to peak (on my daily chart we have not yet touched the trendline) Anyways, here's the weekly

EURUSD

Note that yield on three month bills is already negative. This has never happened before.

EURUSD

The real question here is what will happen to US if the dollar starts to get weaker. They have been getting new loans quite easily for now but if the dollar starts to get cheaper, it will be harder to push treasuries to the market and there has ...

EURUSD

One level at 1.31 was taken out. Next important level is at 1.33, one other thing to look at is the weekly/daily trendline that defines this downtrend movement, if it's broken during next weeks the downtrend is broken. Another important thing is to ...

EURUSD

Budget deficit time. edit: surprisingly near estimate.

EURUSD

The question here is about risk. Who would you consider more risky investment, eurozone or US? You really need to look into budget and trade balances and such. The fact that dollar only got stronger on both times when worse news came out from US ...

EURUSD

btw, oil is back where it started before the drop. I was expecting it will be back but it got back up much faster than I thought. This might signal bottom in crude.

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There is still one very important release coming out today (although it's marked only mid impact on front page), us budget balance. I personally think that predicted -176B is too little but we'll see.. This will be a very high impact news release if ...

EURUSD

The drop was mostly because of oil. It's very interesting that reserves were much smaller than expected and we still got this huge drop [in oil prices].

EURUSD

Really careful with shorts now, notice that we have now definitely crossed the 4h/daily trendline. Also notice the yellow levels near us. I'm very surprised if the price will not touch 1.311/312 in the next few days. If the daily bar closes over ...

EURUSD

It's only triple top if it's triple top. This is definitely not confirmed yet.

EURUSD