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Lamplighter commented Aug 14, 2018The future is unknown and the further out you try to model the less accurate the crystal ball gazing gets. Dynamic systems are the hardest to model as with the ‘butterfly effect’ small ‘unseen’ perturbations can and do have significant impacts. ...
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit
- Lamplighter commented Aug 14, 2018
Billionaires do tend to sell as well as buy shares - its how they make money.
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit
- Lamplighter commented Aug 14, 2018
The EU has more problems than just Brexit - and as with any superstate is less nimble and accountable in finding solutions. Subsidiarity became a thorn in the side for the ever power acquisitive Brussels bureaucracy. So it was an inevitably the one ...
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit
- Lamplighter commented Aug 13, 2018
If they had held-out until this April (22.04.2018) they could have got out flat.
NY Court rules in favor of Drew Niv and FXCM Inc in “Black Swan” case
- Lamplighter commented Aug 13, 2018
H&S patterns are low reward to risk, and other pivots need to be considered alongside including key levels of significance and overall historical structure plus cyclical money flows on these higher time frames.
Possible Head and Shoulders Top in Euro
- Lamplighter commented Aug 13, 2018
A case of he would say that wouldn’t he.
ECB hasn't seen need for Turkey bank risks meeting: Wuermeling
- Lamplighter commented Aug 12, 2018
Poker game - when the one on the other side of the table owns the bank.
Turkey's Erdogan stands by opposition to high interest rates
- Lamplighter commented Aug 12, 2018
No mention of foreign 'safe haven' investments distorting the upper end of the market - but which also could peg value positive for the rest of the market.
NZ Reserve Bank governor warns path for house prices unlikely to be smooth
- Lamplighter commented Aug 12, 2018
Too many known unknowns to know what the median ranking will be over the next 2 to 5 years. IMF guessing one spread of figures versus another bunch of economists guessing another range. Too many ‘Black Swan’ events could yet happen.
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit
- Lamplighter commented Aug 12, 2018
The one thing that is more concerning is the expectation and acceptance that a 4am tweet from “therealDonalTrump” is policy on the fly - and could so easily be a hack ...
Turkey PM Erdogan: US Dollar Etc. Cannot Block Our Path- Those With FX, Gold Under The Pillow...
- Lamplighter commented Aug 12, 2018
There’ll be more of this hoopla running down into the mid-terms. Politicians by default like to work the figures to their own aggrandisement. That said, the more ‘hands-off’ politicians are the better capital driven economies function.
Unemployment numbers are better than they have been in 50 years, & perhaps ever
- Lamplighter commented Aug 10, 2018
Student loan repayments or defaulting, will be having a drag on credit approvals and are part of the problem.
Monthly Treasury Statement
- Lamplighter commented Aug 10, 2018
Not sure a central bank can really influence productivity - and even if it could it would have a ton a lag in the system, meaning a higher degree of instability. The more complex a system the more chaos in said system.
Why the Bank of England Should Target Growth
- Lamplighter commented Aug 10, 2018
Todays EUR action shows there's always at least two sides to a story.
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit
- Lamplighter commented Aug 10, 2018
The trouble is when pressure is put on (ratcheting tariffs) something is going to give eventually. In relatively low volume markets volatility will indeed go up - whipsaws and false breaks a plenty. Size accordingly if not flat and move to higher ...
ECB Said Concerned On BBVA, UniCredit, BNP’s Turkey Exposure: FT
- Lamplighter commented Aug 9, 2018
Seems like a good gambit - trying to facilitate a deal - probably all that chit chatting with the heads of state has focused minds to move on from the shrill siren voices playing out on a broken record. A deal's a deal ... until its not.
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit
- Lamplighter commented Aug 9, 2018
Humm 5% and 4% (annual) is his upper limit - but these are not really low and seem reasonable. No one wants rates to switch into a hyper-inflationary mode. The trouble with crystal ball gazing is it is invariably wrong - there are just too many ...
Interest rates will stay low for 20 years – Bank of England expert
- Lamplighter commented Aug 9, 2018
When downside pressure of uncertainty is crystallised - upside movement could catch some on the wrong foot.
Are You Pound-Proof Yet? The Brexit Endgame Is About to Begin
- Lamplighter commented Aug 9, 2018
Humm could be fighting to get on the planes.
UK trade minister Fox says EU is pushing Britain to no-deal Brexit