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narafa replied Aug 30, 2005I am with you, but unfortunately, you can't separate politics from economics, they are both related strongly and affect each other greatly. Politics have a little problem over economics, you never know what politicians (Policy decision makers) want, ...
Gold Discussion
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narafa replied Aug 30, 2005Hey Isotonic I think you posted a reply and it was removed or you deleted it. Anyway, the answer to your questions is yes of course and without any hesitation and that's exactly what happened before several times. Just give history a deeper look man ...
Gold Discussion
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narafa replied Aug 29, 2005By the way, sorry Merlin if this discussion is out of thread. I believe that it should have been somewhere else, and not in the Gold thread. Please feel free to move the post to the appropriate thread
Thanks, Nader.Gold Discussion
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narafa replied Aug 29, 2005Ya I think Merlin agree with me in the overall longterm outlook... The main reason I believe oil is topping is the unusual high volume of trading. Quick rallies on high volume making new highs are always obvious signals that the rally is going to be ...
Gold Discussion
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narafa replied Aug 29, 2005My own opinion.. — I have always questioned the relationship between the gold prices and the currencies and specially the US Dollar. In general, here is my overall conclusion: 1- Gold Bull Markets are short in time and Gold Bear Markets are ...
Gold Discussion
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narafa replied Aug 19, 2005A very interesting point FT. I never noticed this little thing although it's very very important and essential to create a correct trade. Thanks for this feedback. I will take it into consideration and make some modifications to see what will be the ...
Precision, low-risk entries for discretionary systems.
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narafa replied Aug 19, 2005First of all, thank you so much for admiring my post. I hope I have been useful to everyone who read it. Secondly, there must always be feedback man
Without feedback we will never discover our mistakes and work to correct them. Without feedback, ...Precision, low-risk entries for discretionary systems.
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narafa replied Aug 19, 2005Sorry for being too long. Based on the last post, which I was writing at 6:00 AM EST, I noticed that between 5:00 AM and 5:30 AM EST today, the 19th of August another short signal occured at 1.2186 when the EUR/USD touched the 25 EMA on the 1 hour ...
Precision, low-risk entries for discretionary systems.
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narafa replied Aug 19, 2005A small study I conducted on pullback entries suggests the following: While the currency pair is trending, for example, let's take the minor EUR/USD recent downtrend, entries in the same direction of the trend, ie Shorting EUR/USD are most reliable ...
Precision, low-risk entries for discretionary systems.
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narafa replied Aug 17, 2005Adjusing stops at a minimum is not bad, but you have to be sure that you are correct in your timing in 70-80% of the cases. In order for your trades to work better with the small stops, pullback entries are perfect for your case. I suggest opening a ...
Query: Moving Stops to Breakeven
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narafa replied Aug 16, 2005I disagree with you MD. I can see an extension to the EUR/USD downtrend. From here, there are 2 possible scenarios: 1- The EUR/USD will continue the minor uptrend reaching the 1.2600/1.2650 area and then start pulling back south. This is the least ...
james16 Chart Thread
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narafa replied Aug 16, 2005I totally agree with James. Entering at pullbacks is one of the most rewarding entering strategies I have ever tried. It's about a phsycological effect of not seeing almost 90% of your trades in the red everytime before they take off, if they did. ...
Query: Moving Stops to Breakeven
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narafa replied Aug 3, 2005Well FT, I based this conclusion on pure pshycology of traders, nothing more and nothing less. I haven't researched this matter deeply, but I believe that it will be true if deep analysis is done on historical data. I have to admitt that I need to ...
How do you define risk?
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narafa replied Jul 31, 2005Well yes, the volatility measure is more important in the options pricing since options fluctuate in value before expiring, so volatility is very important prior to expiration. Implied volatility is more important for assessing if the options are ...
How do you define risk?
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narafa replied Jul 30, 2005You haven't lost anything unless you already have a position. You are talking about the 8 pips as if they are a loss. No, they are not. They are the price you pay for the time you wait for confirmation, so practically speaking, they are not a loss, ...
Ok I don't get it please help
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narafa replied Jul 30, 2005Sorry for being late in the reply, Investopedia.com offers a very good explanation for the three terms, Volatility, Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility. You can find those definitions throught the following 3 links: ...
How do you define risk?
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narafa replied Jul 17, 2005In the options/futures markets, which I consider the hardest ones to trade, when volatility increases, you would expect gaps, runaways, and all the wild price actions that you can expect. Unlike the forex market, where gaps are limited to week ...
How do you define risk?
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narafa replied Jul 17, 2005That's why I agree with FT in his point of view. As implied volatility increases, both risk and reward are increased provided that liquidity is still in proportion and in synchronism. When trading a highly volatile market, you should consider ...
How do you define risk?
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narafa replied Jul 16, 2005I see pair volatility in linear realtionship with risk of course, which means that as volatility increase, the risk increases as well. Let me re-phrase the statement a little bit, Risk is "The opposite of creating a winning trade on the lowest ...
How do you define risk?
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narafa replied Jul 15, 2005Hey Redleg, Most people define risk as the max amount which you accept to lose on a single trade. I see this definition good but a little bit incomplete. In my opinion, 4 factors must be taken into consideration while defining risk: 1- Pair ...
How do you define risk?