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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 24, 2025Surprised the SP likes this so much, first decrease in factory orders this year and manufacturing more generally looking rough. That typically doesn't bode well for the macro condition in the near future. Edit: Looks like it was inventory buildup ...
S&P Global US Flash PMI
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 23, 2025Locking in tariff rates with these 'trade deals' means no more TACO, will drag on corporate earnings and/or retail spending. If these rates were announced on Liberation Day the market would have tanked, but it has been beaten into submission now.
US and EU close in on 15% tariff deal: FT
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 22, 2025Wasn't Japan at 25% previously? I guess $550 billion can only buy so much favor. Rice imports should take some pressure off Ueda though, big component of the headline inflation figures.
Trump: We just completed deal with Japan, will invest $550 Billion, pay tariffs to the US of...
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 22, 2025Ah yes, Powell must make way for the puppet chair to ensure that the Fed is independent.
Top economist Mohamed El-Erian breaks ranks with Wall Street and says Powell should resign to...
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 20, 2025JGB long end going to go crazy
Japan’s ruling coalition lost its majority in upper house elections on Sunday, exit polls...
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 18, 2025Yeah I agree, my original comment is making fun of how commentors usually react. This data is not and should not be used for predicting inflation, only useful to see how the average Joe is feeling (usually not correlated well with actual inflation). ...
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index improves to 61.8 in July vs. 61.5 expected
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 18, 2025Where are all the comments calling this fake data?
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index improves to 61.8 in July vs. 61.5 expected
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 17, 2025Simplistic explanation, firms can act in a number of ways. What if rather than layoffs they raise prices of their services to recover their profit margins? I think this is more likely, as the price increase would be gradual vs. shock due to ...
Fed Daly: Still have some work to do on inflation
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 17, 2025So tariff inflation appearing in goods inflation but not in service inflation yet, all things equal leaning towards cut. Question is if we see goods to services spillover moving forward. My bet is we will
Fed Daly: Still have some work to do on inflation
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 16, 2025Can these guys please add some jobs? Just one month? Please?
Labour Force, Australia, June 2025
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 15, 2025If this is low I don't want to see high
Trump: Consumer Prices Low. Bring down the Fed Rate, Now!!! Fed should cut Rates by 3 Points
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 14, 2025They could have copied and pasted this title, they have been saying the same thing for months and hasn't come true yet
US June inflation expected to show tariff-driven uptick as Trump escalates trade threats
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 13, 2025Last nationwide core/core cpi was 1.6% Trying to will yen strength into existence through words lol
BOJ to consider raising its fiscal 2025 consumer inflation forecast at the July 30-31 meeting
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 11, 2025The Treasury Department noted that the month benefited from calendar adjustments, without which the deficit would have been $70 billion.
US Treasury posts unexpected surplus in June as tariff receipts surge
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 10, 2025The website your quote comes from literally says so, scroll down XD
Why Trump might not get rapid interest-rate cuts even after he replaces Fed chief Powell
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 9, 2025I think that might be in reference to the British tabloid 'The Morning Star,' not 'Morningstar'
Why Trump might not get rapid interest-rate cuts even after he replaces Fed chief Powell
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TimmyBTrades commented Jul 9, 2025What a brilliant situation he has put Powell in -- any cut now looks like undermining Fed independence. Less likely to cut now
Trump: Fed rate is at least 3 points too high, lower the rate!