malc you are a funny egg and if anyone went back across your posts for the last 24 hours they might be forgiven for thinking you were a schizophrenic. John Taylor (head of FX Concepts, biggest FX hedge fund in the world, which has a rediculous rate ...

EURUSD

Great post 45c, you echo some of my feelings after watching the sequel. Not much I can add since my next post. Traders continue to pile on bets that Bernanke hates the dollar, but we all know he doesn't. He just has games to play that require ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

I think the best advice is: There is really nothing that separates the retail trader from the bigdog in terms of straight price opportunity, and this is where retail shines! You know there are players in the market, they don't seem to mind if you ...

Advice I wish I had as a complete forex newbie

It only annoys me, because I know you have an opinion! I want to hear your opinion. Not mights and maybes, I see a billion of those looking at the chart! What are you looking for this week? Where do you see enhanced chance of profit? For example, in ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

I trade full-time using intraday timeframes, with the sole purpose of bracketing trades in the daily frame. I have no idea what this means. How "could" (why do you always say "could"? drives me crazy) a break of a level net me any definite number of ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

GMAE traders, some thoughts to start off the week: GBPUSD: neutral/bearish - waiting for break of 1.5650 to examine potential for new shorts. EURUSD: neutral/bullish - waiting for a break of 1.4160 to examine potential for new longs. USDCHF: ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

At least they are admitting it now though, right? Re higher unemployment, my feeling is that this medicine was coming down the pipe whether the UK likes it or not! My question directly, is, do you think "we" are better off to take the bitter ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

GMAE traders. Absolutely beautiful trading since the week began. Equities flashcrashed, glad I stayed out of there! Interested to hear the thoughts of the crowd on the UK proposed budget cuts: url specifically in reference to EURGBP and GBPUSD. Is ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Hi guys, Quiet in here. I have been busy writing code for the robot, which is very promising. I direct your attention to the story of The Battle of Thermopylae, which I have not regaled for some time, since January of this year as I recall when the ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Let's see what happens next week!

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Too much good stuff said for me to comment specifically on any of it. Weird things will happen in the market this month. Speculative and leveraged shorts who thought resistance would hold in late September are going to be trying to get out on any ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Of course they don't, from the perspective that anyone of enough size liquidity could come in and break any line or fib (but then again, on this level, no guarantee the market wouldn't just gobble that liquidity). Of course they do, from the ...

EURUSD

What I noticed over the last few nights is that the TED spread is no longer paying attention to the declines in USD. Money markets are a big % funding basis of currency movements so I pay attention when these two diverge. So you can see the ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Hi guys, I really appreciate the well wishes and messages sent to me over the last little while. September has been a rough month. I am not ready to get back in the saddle and run big dollars just yet, and especially not the big dollars of other ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Hey guys, Sorry I haven't posted recently, a friend committed suicide a couple of weeks ago I was having trouble dealing with it and then late last week found out a very close friend of mine died. Hadn't really even remembered to look at a price ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

As I wrote August 12, 10s yields looked like they wanted to test 2.5%. After this occurred prior Bernankes Jackson Hole, 10 yields saw their largest % gain in almost 2 years. Last night, they didn't manage to penetrate those highs, but the long ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Well let's not just sit around and talk about it, this is a cable trading thread isn't it? Aug-Sep 2007: image Aug-Sep 2008: image Aug-Sep 2009: image Aug-Sep 2010: image I don't purport to know any specific answers, but it is an ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Not really sure if this is a valid technical analysis. Last month we crossed over the 12 monthly average. Very similar pattern to August 2009, we crossed this average June, everyone got bullish, then strong monthly reversal bar in August, where we ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Just a simple quant, pairs showing X, Y,Z parameters for the weekly bar have a N% tendency to move P% up on the next weekly open. N is statistically significant across many markets not just forex, otherwise I wouldn't have bothered.

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread

Yes. Over the weekend I wrote a piece of software to scan the market looking for accumulation over the last week. Not just the majors, but many many crosses and exotics. On Sunday as I ran it, the top 5 to come up in this order were: USD/MXN, ...

GU, GJ and EU Analysis Thread