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Craig replied Apr 11, 2008The title of the thread may either be a clever play on words or a dramatic misunderstanding of Quantum physics. Quantum systems evolve in a completely deterministic way until we measure them, then the quantum state collapses according to various ...
Short Term Trading is Quantum Physics
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Craig replied Apr 11, 2008The definition of random is subtle and depends upon your point of view. For example, I can write a computer program to generate random numbers, to any bystander these number would be utterly random, but these numbers are actually completely ...
Is the market random or not ?
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Craig replied Apr 11, 2008What do you mean by the 'real value'? This is at best a slippery concept when discussing MT4 brokers.
Cannot get the spread information in backtesting
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Craig replied Apr 11, 2008The back tester works just fine, but it is easy to make mistakes. They should have implemented MQL as a COM or .NET API so that you can write your system in any language and use a debugger.
Top Most Unfortunate Limitations of MT4/MQL4
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Craig replied Apr 10, 2008Nope, the forex market is too efficient, that whole good money management = profit thing is just a myth. You need a edge, it doesn't have to be big, think about it like a casino, a tiny edge which is exploited over and over. Money management is ...
How do you determine when a strategy is valid and profitable?
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Craig replied Apr 10, 2008You should not abandon it, what is happening now is what is important, but be aware that it will stop working at some point, so you really need a measure of what constitutes working vs. not-working.
how long to backtest
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Craig replied Apr 9, 2008I don't think there is any magic milestone where you can assert that a system is going to remain in profit, the only constant is that the market keeps changing and you have no idea what the changes are really. So all you can do is track recent ...
How do you determine when a strategy is valid and profitable?
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Craig replied Apr 6, 2008I've never seen any spikes, but I've seen all sorts of other BS.
Using MT4 to interface with other applications instead of make trades?
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Craig replied Apr 3, 2008If I had to guess, I would put it down to supply and demand.
What caused the Futures market to move the way it did today?
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Craig replied Apr 3, 2008I'm surprised this thread has received so little attention, the question it poses is something everybody needs to determine for themselves before diving into the next system de jour, have we jumped the shark?
How do you determine when a strategy is valid and profitable?
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Craig replied Apr 2, 2008If you want to judge your live results read up on statistical confidence intervals, you want to be able to reject a null hypothesis of mean profit being greater than zero as a result of luck with 90-95% confidence. I would use 50-100 trades, the ...
How do you determine when a strategy is valid and profitable?
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Craig replied Mar 30, 2008...just when you thought it was safe to hang out in the graveyard, a shape emerges from a fog shrouded crypt, queue the theremin... the GRID MONSTER!!! This has been done to death on so many forums, the market trends and you get hammered. There is ...
The grid hedge - the core version
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Craig replied Mar 29, 2008Unless you are also planning to build a time machine to go back and run your system in the past, I would suggest you may not need to go back that far, the market will have changed many times since then.
Forex historical data
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Craig replied Mar 28, 2008You need to calculate your trade sizes differently to be properly hedged, just using one lot for each trade leaves you exposed. I suggest checking out the thread on this over at the 'krelisk' forum. Beyond this, think about how this works on MT4 ...
Triangle Arbitrage
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Craig replied Mar 28, 2008I'm not sure what you want people to say, the spread gets big, talking about it isn't going to change it. If the spread is huge during the news, you can't trade the news, end of story.
Biggest Spread in MBTrading
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Craig replied Mar 27, 2008You don't need to go down to tick level to get indicative results, in fact if you do you are probably curve fitting noise. I have found the MT4 back tester is accurate, however it is very easy to make mistakes in EA coding which exploit loopholes ...
Is Strategy Tester a reliable tool?