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triphop replied May 25, 2010Man, that's a confusing set of options. You've mixed up type of trade (fading/breakout/both) with frequency (<1 week, <1/day, 1-3/day, 4+/day), with method (systematic manual, systematic automated, discretionary, all the options in between), with ...
Poll: What Style/System Do you Trade?
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triphop replied May 23, 2010[QUOTE=Intu;3746961]That was an interesting read, if thread followers have missed it, please check out Razzle's #32 post .pdf in this thread. "In particular, the [FONT=Times New Roman]double-down strategy, considered risky by some practitioners, ...
why is everyone so afraid to average down?
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triphop replied May 23, 2010Thanks all, I thought I'd wait until I heard a definitive answer. And the answer is no... True enough the ask reached down to 147, but there wasn't enough liquidity to fill many orders at this level. Sigh... FXChi, sounds like you've heard this ...
liquidity test
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triphop replied May 20, 2010Oh my — Setebos, I think you might have missed a tongue firmly in cheek there. That's the interweb for you. Let's be quite clear, there are lots of traders professional and non who scale in and out. Anyone who dismisses it out of hand is a ...
why is everyone so afraid to average down?
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triphop replied May 20, 2010MrJ , but in reducing risk you're reducing profit... the only way in which this could be beneficial is if there's a correlation between the amount of drawdown on a trade and it's likelihood of profitability. This would mean the you have a ...
why is everyone so afraid to average down?
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triphop replied May 20, 2010Stop your sighing TGPop, Razor clarified it in the second post! It's easiest to define scaling in as what you're doing (where you spread your set risk over several orders), and averaging down as what willful gamblers do (where they double their ...
why is everyone so afraid to average down?
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triphop replied May 20, 2010Realising that unless you can prove something works on a RR 1:1 basis, you're fooled by randomness
AHA moments in your trading career
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triphop replied May 20, 2010Winners between 1-2 days Losers between 1-4 hours
How Long is your typical trade?
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triphop replied May 19, 2010Thanks everyone. I recently changed broker - it was going to be IB or Dukas, but FXCM opened up a UK spreadbetting service. This makes it tax free and saves 18% tax (probably more in the future when taxes get hiked). Weighing up the pros (18%) and ...
liquidity test
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triphop replied May 19, 20102150 surely?! Did anyone have a tradeable price on the spike down to 2147 this am at around 8am GMT?
liquidity test
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triphop replied May 19, 2010Plat/others, could you do me a favour and give me a price here: url I'm not hijacking the thread... it is relevant... ta
FXCM Discussion
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liquidity test
Started May 19, 2010|Broker Discussion|12 replies
All, can you check your platforms and see if you had a tradeable price this morning on EU at ...
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triphop replied May 18, 2010OK, just briefly - better risk reward ... better for what? RR is just a way of gauging how much you're risking to how much you're getting back, and as such is driven by how much wiggle room your trades needs and how much you expect to get back. Even ...
2,000USD to 2,000,000 USD in 8 years?
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triphop replied May 16, 2010Or put another way, this past few weeks have been a black swan event, not to be confused (or to teach you) about how the market operates most of the time. From 3 May, retailers have been making exceptionally large profits. This is not the norm. ...
2,000USD to 2,000,000 USD in 8 years?
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triphop replied May 15, 2010Thanks both, Razzle, that's the equation I found too, but I'm suspicious of that and the calculator; both seem to return results too good to be true. ForexQuant, just spent a few hours working with that, and it ties in with other graphs I've seen ...
Calculating probability of losing streaks
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triphop replied May 15, 2010Thanks Flotsom, I'm looking for a bit more than that - that tells you the probability of an individual streak, but I'm trying to calculate the chances of a streak of X losses over N number of trades. So, for example, using simple probability, the ...
Calculating probability of losing streaks
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Calculating probability of losing streaks
Started May 15, 2010|Trading Discussion|30 replies
Any mathematicians able to help out here? Stats have never been my finest point so... ...
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triphop replied May 12, 2010Ah, I can shed a bit of light of this. I spent some time talking with a big retail shop about this very problem and yep - it's pretty much right though arguably not all of them are doing anything other than protecting their risk. The bigger ones I ...
Why does Automated trading never seem to work?
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triphop replied May 12, 2010Hi DT, good to see you back here, hope you're well. Your post on timed exits, there's a weeks worth of research right there... FXEZ's excellent post reminds me of something else to consider which I now consider obvious, but thinking back... 12 ...
Gaining an edge from your exit
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triphop replied May 6, 2010Doesn't matter — Maybe so, but I read Trade your Way for the first time this week, having never bought into it, because it was always mentioned in the same breath as the turgid dog of a book ,trading in the zone. Tharp also gets misquoted all ...
The REAL reason why nearly every trader fails. Can you solve this trading dilemma?