Thread dies out again? Back to Psychedelic esoterica r = range x = (open - low)/r -- where the open falls within the range y = (close - low)/r -- [...] Transpose and plot {x,y} Historical 1H GU, 70k+ bars image Synth 1H, 10k+ probability -> {tick ...

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

Probably, not enough time to revisit mth open in 1.5 weeks. Anyway, first target 1.287 1.2718 - multi-POC 1.2572 and 1.2537 will be touched, but idk about time period image image

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

That's your local currency account. $11 = 17144 Naira Get account in Lebanese Pound...

Gold

*making misleading 'headlines'

Gold

Really? How much kg is a metric ton? 23^3 = 12 167 (m^3) 12 167 * 19 320 = 234 823 100 (kg) Did you ask AI? I can't believe someone could fail here, except AI. Exactly.

Gold

lol especially that part Did you ask AI? Because anyone who went to school couldn't fail like that.

Gold

Why does this sound like a bs? image

Gold

Was playing around binomial trees... let's merge some topics discussed earlier: image And... cumulative rolling returns(?), idk how to name it. So, I called it Stationary Stochastic Squirrel Oscillation and Quantum spaghetti flux ...

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

Directly.

Gold

Yes. Reliable source for weekend gaps.

Gold

Failed cases, especially the worst ones, are the most interesting. high > sma(50) and highs_diff should not exceed 35 pips W/out sma filter it's even more fun... It should be kind of axiom: don't believe backtesting or any curve in MT4/5 image

(binned per thread starter’s request) Trading Ideas - What works?

Closed long too early Managing shorts. image Minimum expected range attained image image

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Shame Maybe that's why a lot of what he says makes no sense and sometimes with contradictions image

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

In 2+ candle patterns it's actually the last in sequence candle test, but with reduced sample size. Have fun, arrogant newb wizard As sample grows - stats will converge, if haven't already. Why? Because 2 candles can be seen as single

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

What is your version, where is the edge in this candle?

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

Null hypothesis. Patterns should be 'better' than: - buy/sell after random green candle; - buy/sell after random red candle Hope he knows that. ps. Interactive trading/Journals are indeed around the corner.

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

Moving map at least gives smoother distributions. In this case resampled candles match "real" ones -- market structure is weak. Kind of permutation. As far as I understand it. (*this one for 7 days GU) image You know it's a bumpy thing, especially ...

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

url Example with rolling monthly body: GU url -- derived from empirical distribution, there was ~8% chance that next Daily close will be below Jan 17 '25, forming a 22-day 'artificial' month. Next day was a giant bullish candle indeed. Month is ...

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick

Hi, BWilliam. I meant in general, few people support their claims with stats part. This is somewhat related to what I posted earlier here: go long after green candle, wait, see what happens. And rolling candles were already mentioned by AntiCre. It ...

Higher Edge within a Single Candlestick