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Myo replied May 14, 2014I can only quote from the paper (p. 3): "However, we do know that the institutional structure of the currency futures market preserves anonymity of the dealer’s identity with the trade counterparty (when a dealer executes through a broker), while ...
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Myo replied May 14, 2014Here's a "recent" research paper from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2006). Haven't read it but it seems to support the notion that futures no longer lead spot. Source: url
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Myo replied May 14, 2014If I recall correctly, there were regulatory reasons. Big money somehow gained an advantage by using the spot markets over futures in their daily operations, but I don't remember the details. There was a lot more.
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Myo replied May 14, 2014I've read a paper on this. The authors' conclusion was that currency futures do not lead spot. They used to, though.
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Myo replied May 14, 2014hard to say in this environment. buy stop@35 should yield some decent results, i think.
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Myo replied May 11, 2014Since the ECB press conference sent the market into a tailspin on May 8th, traders on FF once again gradually flipped their bias to "long". They are now in the majority. Who would have thought?

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