If the market is random, ALL of the following must be true: 1) Support and Resistance do not exist 2) Trends do not exist 3) Cycles do not exist 4) Nothing that happens ever has an effect on anything else that happens That's it guys. If you believe ...

Do you believe this market is random?

CCIDER is my own creation. The idea behind it is very simple. I use the exact CCI formula, except that I remove the Moving Average function and replace that part with an equivalent Lowpass Filter. This results in much better noise rejection and ...

CCI indicator

You are way too young to think about dying. I have had my life destroyed several times and somehow I keep coming back. That is part of the adult experience of life and you should remember that you are still becoming an adult. That won't end until ...

I lost 7k dollars and I am in a massive pain

Pro traders make much more than 10-20% per year. There is a very steep learning curve, and most traders who make money only know just barely enough to be profitable. But for those who understand the mystery, the door is wide open and money comes ...

Real Reasons why Retail Traders lose money

The uptrend is dead and we are going down to at least 88750. This uptrend has been weak anyway. Several cyclical components have hit in the past 48 hours and the upwave components have all been failures. The last run up was the exhaustion rally. Now ...

USD/CHF

People are confused. The wind is not random. It is complex. Same thing in markets. As for SNR issues, scrap moving averages and use lowpass filters instead and watch that SNR get much better. Moving Averages are quite possibly the worst filter on ...

Do you believe this market is random?

The CCI is very noisy. I have a better version that removes the leaky moving average in the formula and replaces it with a real lowpass filter instead. I call it CCIDER. To use CCI/CCIDER you have to remember that this indicator is extremely ...

CCI indicator

The Fibonacci ratio is active in 90% of all market activity. To ignore this ratio is to ignore the heartbeat of the market. HINT: You may have to invent a new indicator that adapts to the market continuously so you don't have to reset the anchor ...

Fibonacci Indicator? Is it a big Joke?

Backtesting is a trap if you believe it too much. I have created agro futures trading systems years ago which showed better than +200% profit per year, over a period of 10 years. The system completely crashed and burned the 2nd month I used it on ...

How useful are EA backtest results?

Define 'random'. I define it as 'unpredictable', 'unknowable', and 'not following any structure'. If you truly believe this and still trade, you are merely a gambler and there is no skill to your trading, right? There is no logical reason to suppose ...

Do you believe this market is random?

This is what I have seen since I began trading in the '80s: 1) Famous Indicator/System Developers - bought a book from one of these famous people (who invented widely used indicators back in the day) because he promised a money back guarantee if ...

List of sellers refusing to give proof

"Humans are slower than machines." You are absolutely right. I don't care about execution speed like you do. Even when the trade goes bad, that does not mean "Exit Immediately" always. It is better to wait for the bounce. Sometimes the bounce fixes ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

So many assumptions in your thinking... 1) You are making assumptions about the level of leverage. Even if a big loss occurred that would cause a margin call, that is far better than advertising ahead of time where your force-out location is. ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

1988. Anything else?

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?