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    • KADC replied Oct 19, 2012

      I think it's heading back to the bottom of the consolidation area at 1.02 and possibly the bear channel support at 1.015, but as far as today is concerned I wouldn't be surprised to see another 30 points to 1.03 which seems like both a reasonable ...

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 19, 2012

      The actual CPI data was very mild considering what yesterday's BoC comments lead us to believe, and since anticipation of much worse news was already priced in by the time of the CPI release I'll wait until we see 0.99 (and 80.0 for the JPY/CAD ...

      USD/CAD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      Yes, indeed you were. I apologize for that. Oddly, nearly lighting my house on fire earlier and making stupid mistakes while trading that cost me money today wasn't enough to get me to go to bed, but I feel so ridiculous going on about USD/JPY when ...

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      [Note that I go on about USD/JPY when 100PipsADay clearly meant AUD/JPY. But for that blunder, I think the rest of this post still makes sense.] I agree that it's significant that USD/JPY broke the descending wedge, but it was solidly rejected from ...

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      It bounced off 0.8230 and is now deciding if it's going to pass through 0.8220 or retest 0.823 but I screwed up and moved my stop to exactly 0.8230 instead of 0.8233 like I'd intended, so I'm out now regardless until this resolves. [update: I went ...

      NZD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      AUD/JPY is pretty consistently rejected when daily RSI hits 65, which is where it's at now, so I think it's more likely to stay in this nice, profitable channel and bounce off of 83 at most.

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      ...and yet, suddenly, with no fundamental reason to support it that I can find, AUD and NZD have suddenly and fearsomely changed direction just as the USD index crossed over to definitively bullish territory which, by necessity of how the USD index ...

      NZD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      What's your time frame and entry point for that move? US data, manipulated though it may be, is more likely to push the USD up which means for the near future this pair is going down. ...and yet, suddenly, with no fundamental reason to support it ...

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      If the US dollar index can't penetrate 79.0, all the US pairs are likely to fall for a while. There's not a lot of support for AUD/USD until the 1.025 area so I wouldn't be surprised to see this pair and NZD/USD give back all the gains they made ...

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      I can see the call for 0.822, but I wouldn't switch to a long position until it breaks through 0.823 and retests 0.822 from above, but unless the US dollar index can penetrate 79.0 I think you're better off thinking about shorting any USD pair.

      NZD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      I don't think it will hold up to positive US jobless data so be careful if you're long. I took a short at 1.04 when the US dollar index failed to breach 79 for the second time and RSI turned positive on the hourly chart. ...but it will all be ...

      AUD/USD
    • KADC replied Oct 18, 2012

      I assume this system is working for you, else you wouldn't keep using it, but are you using it alone or in conjunction with something else? Long term studies of Murrey Math predictors average a 51.4% success rate -- roughly the equivalent of tossing ...

      USD/CAD