Thanks for looking that up. I have that book and read it years ago but I never thought about looking there. Those are all great points and hopefully that clears up a few misconeptions.

Drawing a Trendline

What does that make you then? Book release dates are often published months in advance. In this time of economic unrest it would be hard to not have some "event" surrounding his release. What about OJ robbing a hotel room the same week as his book ...

greenspan still has excellent timing

I appreciate your analysis. It seems well thought out and you make a good argument. I am curious why you picked these specific MAs and would be interested in knowing why they are more important than any other moving average. Also, I wonder if they ...

Lets Talk GBP/JPY "the geppy"

While the curve might be impressive, if it doesn't represent real life then it remains a pleasant fantasy. I would also suggest that you optimize without money management first and then bring that part in after you have the best possible curve. ...

why curve fitting doesn't work?

You made $65,400 on that trade? Congratulations!

Lets Talk GBP/JPY "the geppy"

bluefox, there's nothing wrong with optimization if done correctly. Here is the first problem as I see it: That is not a realistic curve. People don't make $111K in 80+ trades and you don't stand a chance of surviving if that is what you are ...

why curve fitting doesn't work?

Well, the guy invented fixed ratio position sizing. If you don't understand it then it might not be for you. As for determining your delta I think you need some position sizing software. You might want to look at this: url Best wishes.

Fixed ratio Money Management

Look for a book by Ryan Jones called The Trading Game. It will give you plenty of advice on fixed ratio.

Fixed ratio Money Management

This in an excerpt from an article I wrote earlier this year.........(the rates and quotes have changed slightly so plug in your own numbers) (contract notional value x (base currency interest rate- quote currency interest rate)/(365 days per year)) ...

Global Interest Rates

That's the equivelant of someone offering to buy 1 US Dollar for 82 cents or selling it to you for $1.25. I wouldn't mind being the bank on that one.

Thoughts on buying Iraq Dinar?

Bank of America does not buy or sell Iraqi Dinar. It is not a country listed on their site and just to be sure, I called them. You should check out facts before posting. If you can post the bid/ask for dinar from an actual bank I'm sure we'd all ...

Thoughts on buying Iraq Dinar?

That's funny. It's clear from your post that you know what you're talking about. I have had about the same success rate as you: 1 out of 10 systems warrants further study.

why curve fitting doesn't work?

You don't have to go to college to read the fed funds futures chart.

Do Not Yell At Me For Discussing Fundamentals

Call 'em up!!! This would be a fun exercise.

Thoughts on buying Iraq Dinar?

bluefox, this is a great post and thread. Thanks for starting it. I have a number of replies to various posters so please bear with me. First, to my knowledge, no one every said curve fitting does work. Despite that, I see it a lot, especially here ...

why curve fitting doesn't work?

Margin on futures is a set formula and generally not something a broker can negotiate. e-mini contracts on Forex, now that's a cool idea.

USFE to list forex futures. Can we have your views on this?

Hi Peter, I think Merlin is right. This product is already offered on larger, established exchanges like the CME. The PBOT also just introduced currency futures. The PHLX and ISE offer currency options and you can even trade currencies as a stock ...

USFE to list forex futures. Can we have your views on this?

Thanks Dave.

Drawing a Trendline

Could you please provide an example? After reading this a couple times I still can't follow your logic (my fault, not yours). Welcome to 1KT.

Drawing a Trendline

Here's the defnintion of risk/reward from investopedia. Note that as I politely pointed out earlier it is not consistent with your view. A ratio used by many investors to compare the expected returns of an investment to the amount of risk undertaken ...

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