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merlin replied Jul 14, 2007its a bet
now we just have to find the experiment! 
Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 14, 2007your argument for "proof" is that we are trading profitably by flipping a coin to enter, and using strategy to exit. scientifically, this proves nothing. if we reverse this situation, and enter with an equally good strategy, and exit with coin flip, ...
Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 14, 2007hmmm, not quite what i was saying. there are three positions you can have (long, short, flat), not just two. so if you are long, and you exit, that doesnt mean you are getting short (like a SAR system)...you could be just getting flat. at any given ...
Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 12, 2007yes, so at any given point, you are one of these three things on every instrument. so here is my point....if you want to be short at this very momement, should it matter if you have a position already? whether it is short or long? or whether you are ...
Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 12, 2007exactly why i think exits and entries are the same thing!

Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 12, 2007rubish. if following your plan means turning a winner into a loser, then so be it

Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 12, 2007hey FORCE, why are you going off track with this great thread you have posted? i thought sccz97's comments added to what you were saying, not subtracted. i rated this thread 5 stars yesterday because its one of the best ive seen in a while. was a ...
Volume case study during News
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merlin replied Jul 12, 2007i often hear that "exits are more important than entry" and vice versa, or things like "the money is in the exits" etc. but one thing i could never understand...what is the difference between an exit and an entry? with regard to the expectancy of ...
Exits: Our worst enemy
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merlin replied Jul 11, 2007ive always had the feeling that volatility was the cousin of inefficiency...when markets are crazy, there is always some little inefficiency to grab, but when markets are slow, steady and old, its not so easy.
Less Volitility in Modern Markets?
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merlin replied Jul 11, 2007yes there may be more dumb traders, but the volume from the smart ones will be overwhelming. and the more participants that are in the market, the harder it is to find the inefficiencies. a market with 10 players has more inefficiencies than a ...
Less Volitility in Modern Markets?
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merlin replied Jul 11, 2007USO is your best bet, although the volume is light and spreads can be a killer. save your money and trade the mini futures

Oil Trading - ETF, Stock?
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merlin replied Jul 11, 2007i tend to agree with the theory that markets become less volatile when the participants become "smarter" and more sophisticated. smart traders will step in to "correct" a large move if they feel the move is overdone, whereas the less sophisticated ...
Less Volitility in Modern Markets?
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merlin replied Jul 11, 2007there is something you should understand about revisions in general. the timliness of data is very important. traders mostly care about what is happening NOW. a trade balance revision is saying something about what happened months ago, the ...
UK trade balance revision
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merlin replied Jul 6, 2007add a smooth ADX to your charts and you can tell for yourself. a high ADX means "trending", lower means "choppy".
In your opinion, which pair is the least choppy (i.e most trendy)?
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merlin replied Jul 4, 2007i never heard anyone say that it cant be done. it certainly is possible to make 10% per month. ive done it for long stretches, and so have other traders on this board. the point being made is that its not probable, especially over 2 or 3 years. 10% ...
Forex Profit... Im sorry but... (10% per month?)
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merlin replied Jul 4, 2007
mike, hang in there buddy, 1KT is on the way!! 
Forex Profit... Im sorry but... (10% per month?)
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merlin replied Jul 4, 2007think of it like this...if you take a bunch of samples of something, what is the average difference you will find between those samples? thats sort of what the "standard deviation" is. so if you take 10 market prices (your sample), the standard ...
Bollinger Band Stdv Formula?
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merlin replied Jul 3, 2007that is an amazing track record. (if its true..."These historical returns have not been audited and are disclosed for informational purposes only."). another year with a track record like this, they could easily attract a billion dollars. got any ...
Forex Profit... Im sorry but... (10% per month?)
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merlin replied Jul 3, 2007this is flat out wrong, no matter how you word it. no pro trader would ever agree with this statement. pips are as irrelevent as a "tick" in the futures market, a "cent" in the stock market, or a "point" on bonds. the word "pip" says nothing...are ...
Forex Profit... Im sorry but... (10% per month?)